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GAME RATING
Hmm 3 / 5 Fair Debatable Hmm Sus RIGGED? Repeated defensive penalties extended one drive.
Dallas Cowboys received 2 first downs from defensive penalties on third or fourth down during one drive. New York Giants gained 394 yards on offense. 10 penalties cost them 114 yards. How this rating was calculated This saved report uses the earlier rating rules. Open the latest report for the current calculation.
Rating methodology ↗ Why this result Game momentum Fan feedback Play details Data & updates
Why this result stands out—or doesn’t
Spread vs. result Within the usual range Expected margin Dallas Cowboys by 3
Final margin New York Giants by 8
Difference 11 points
New York Giants covered the spread. The underdog won outright.
2,813 of 7,276 earlier games were at least this far from the spread (38.7%).
Where this comparison comes from The recorded closing spread is an expected winning margin, not the final score. We compare the size of the miss with earlier seasons: 1999–2025 seasons. At least 500 prior games are required to affect the rating.
A result in the most unusual 10% can raise a game to Debatable; the most unusual 5% can raise it to Hmm. Spread alone cannot produce Sus or RIGGED?.
View the source data ↗ THE BREAKS BEHIND THE SCORE
How the result took shape Dallas Cowboys · Drive extending penalties DAL received 2 first downs from NYG penalties on third or fourth down during drive 5. Review these plays together; this does not establish that any call was wrong.
HOW THE GAME MOVED
Game momentum New York Giants chance to win · vs. Dallas CowboysBefore-play estimates
New York Giants chance to win during the game 136 preplay estimates across 165 recorded game entries; 0 use an experimental overtime model. 29 entries have no estimate. The line connects available values; intermediate values are not calculated. The line stops at the last available estimate. All recorded entries appear in the table below. 0% 50% 100% DIG INTO THE NUMBERS Detailed analysis by category Officiating, coaching, turnovers, kicking and execution. + 01
Impact of officiating decisions How a ruling changed the game state. Whether the ruling was correct is a separate question.
NYG Observed ruling consequence 2.85 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence 0.72 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
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Notable plays 6 + These recorded events provide context. Their count does not determine the game rating.
Q2 · 06:45 Recorded game event
Dallas Cowboys · Play 1316 (6:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 87-J.Ferguson (22-A.Phillips). PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at NYG 21 - No Play.
Defensive penalty on NYG awarded DAL a first down on third down; call correctness requires review. 2 defensive penalty first downs on third or fourth down occurred on DAL drive 5; review the sequence together. Estimated chance to win moved 6.4 percentage points across this play.
Q2 · 05:59 Recorded game event
Dallas Cowboys · Play 1372 (5:59) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to NYG 1 for no gain (49-T.Edmunds).
Replay reversed a catch or scoring ruling; review the correction and remaining effect separately. Estimated chance to win moved 1.6 percentage points across this play.
Q2 · 09:57 Recorded game event
Dallas Cowboys · Play 1152 (9:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens (20-G.Newsome) [0-B.Burns]. PENALTY on NYG-20-G.Newsome, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at DAL 24 - No Play.
THE UNDERLYING RECORD
Source plays 165 Full play descriptions from this revision, including plays without a modeled event. A source description records the published outcome; it does not resolve whether a ruling was correct.
Browse all 165 source plays Q115:00 GAME Play 1 Q115:00 34-D.Zvada kicks 62 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 3. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 28 for 25 yards (46-Z.Barnes). Play 39 34-D.Zvada kicks 62 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 3. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 28 for 25 yards (46-Z.Barnes).
Q114:54 (14:54) 33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 29 for 1 yard (3-A.Carter; 98-D.Reader). Play 62 (14:54) 33-J.Williams left guard to DAL 29 for 1 yard (3-A.Carter; 98-D.Reader).
Q114:18 (14:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 88-C.Lamb. Play 84 (14:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 88-C.Lamb.
Q114:14 (14:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 37 for 8 yards (20-G.Newsome). The ball spot was assisted by replay. CHECK THE CALCULATIONS Play-by-play model evidence 82 Optional calculations for individual plays. + Largest estimated individual impacts appear first. This order does not determine whether a call was right or wrong.
Q206:45 Penalty · DAL (6:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 87-J.Ferguson (22-A.Phillips). PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at NYG 21 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG -11.39 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 2
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -7
Game seconds remaining 2198
Half seconds remaining 398
Quarter seconds remaining 398
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 ABOUT THIS REPORT Data & report history Sources, calculation notes and earlier versions. + Automatic analysis Complete Updates automatically when source data changes.
Source data Updated source data This report uses the provider’s cleaned postgame data. Later corrections can still update the report.
Data limitations and calculation notes (3) Overall percentile unavailable: no validated comparable-coverage aggregation. Officiating correctness: not reviewed. No statistical result establishes intent. Coaching promotion gate passed for insensitive supported regulation states; upstream training cutoff and unchosen action outcomes remain unverified. Data sources nflverse-team-stats View original data ↗
Retrieved Sep 22, 2026, 4:39 AM UTC License: CC-BY-4.0
Verify this snapshot SHA-256 ab0c455c4dc1db4bc8de52fe5cabc562f63b376d207265c78d7fbae9ffb4940bnflverse-pbp View original data ↗
Retrieved Sep 22, 2026, 2:04 PM UTC License: CC-BY-4.0
Verify this snapshot SHA-256 96452de58a2a2baefe9cc090fa3177fb84083d3183c83914b9e9d93f2bf7d281ftn-via-nflverse View original data ↗
Retrieved Sep 22, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC License: CC-BY-SA-4.0
Verify this snapshot SHA-256 d755f7f37aa3b3975ff32f43b2ad634e17659371ab56d6ab714714365dabb9ccNew York Giants · Sacks allowed Allowed 2 sacks, including 0 in overtime.
New York Giants · Opponent penalties Opponent DAL was charged 9 penalties for 90 yards.
Dallas Cowboys · Opponent penalties Opponent NYG was charged 10 penalties for 114 yards.
Explore the historical comparisons (1) These patterns overlap. They are separate comparisons, not independent evidence of multiple problems.
New York Giants Historical context
Winning-profile context NYG won. Prior matching team-games: 336 wins, 435 losses, 3 ties among 774 matches from 14512 complete prior team-games. This frequency describes the comparison group, not the probability that this result was improper.
At least 100 penalty yards 336 / 774 prior matching team-games were wins
435 losses · 3 ties among the matches 14,512 team-games checked · 1999–2025 seasons
Historical coverage & audit method 14,512 prior team-games · 1999–2025 seasons
Audit: under-review-game-audit-v4 Reference: nflverse-team-game-profile-v1
Reference SHA-256: 3d37b64650758d0b199dcf07eb5c2448a5b67d426020fbb5af351fb6cc965385Descriptive after-game comparison of fixed conditions; this is not a pregame prediction, p-value, misconduct probability or proof of causation. These exploratory product rules were motivated by known cases, then versioned and applied uniformly. This is not independent or held-out validation; definitions are frozen for later evaluations. Seven overlapping patterns are checked. They are correlated and are not combined into an overall anomaly score; multiple-pattern searching can find apparent outliers. Reference counts use complete aggregate team-games from strictly earlier seasons, including regular season and postseason. Same-season and future records are excluded. At least 20 matching prior team-games are required for labels: at most 5% wins for Historical outlier; at most 10% for Unusual winning profile. These are product flag thresholds, not calibrated significance tests. Review candidates are neutral priorities, not adjudicated errors or complete officiating coverage. Observed WP movement is the absolute whole-play change, never a beneficiary attribution or error-attributable cost. Review priorities use regulation WP only; separate experimental overtime estimates do not determine call correctness or coaching costs. Defensive penalties awarding first downs on third or fourth down are checked throughout the game. At least two distinct qualifying plays sharing an explicit provider drive and offensive team form a drive review cluster; this is not a claim that every penalty erased a stop. Declined, offsetting, ambiguous and independently converted plays are excluded from this check. Official aggregate totals supply the profile. PBP evidence links for aggregate context may be partial, particularly for multiple penalties; no approximate PBP penalty totals enter rarity comparisons. Descriptive historical team-game reference, not a trained fraud, integrity, or win-probability model. Only 1999–2025 regular-season and postseason games with paired attributed team stats and schedule scores are eligible; listed exclusions remain absent. Compare historical targets only with earlier seasons. Neither the target season nor future games belong in its comparison denominator. Total net offense is rushing_yards + passing_yards + signed sack_yards_lost. Return yards are excluded. Penalty counts/yards are provider accepted-penalty stat aggregates (stat_id 93), not a count of all flags or first-penalty PBP columns. Turnover margin is opponent (passing_interceptions + fumbles_lost_total) minus own; fumbles cover all units. Turnovers on downs are excluded. Non-offensive touchdowns combine def_tds and special_teams_tds only when fumble_recovery_tds is observed zero. Positive or missing fumble-recovery TD counts make this context null because offensive/defensive attribution and overlap are ambiguous. Missing inputs remain null, not zero. Provider aggregates can differ from a PBP-derived target; reconcile material discrepancies before comparison. Complete means required fields are present, not independently gamebook-certified. Modern provider aliases join historical schedule team codes; output preserves schedule codes and game IDs. Data: nflverse / nflfastR, schedules additionally Lee Sharpe, CC BY 4.0. Transformations: joins, field selection, net totals, margins, exclusions and compression.
First recorded entry Last recorded entry About this chart 136 model estimates across 165 recorded game entries.
29 entries have no estimate .
Line connects available values; intermediate values are not calculated.
The horizontal axis follows recorded entries, not elapsed game time. Forecasts describe the state before a play. The line ends at the last available forecast.
View all chart data (165 entries) Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1
A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
DAL Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Unsupported state
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
DAL Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Penalty declined
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence 3.19 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence 0.74 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence -1 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence -0.5 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
DAL Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence -10.37 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence -4.87 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
DAL Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence -11.39 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence -3.72 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Unsupported state
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Clock or period ambiguity
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence -1.9 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence -1.41 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence -2.29 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence -0.59 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence -0.42 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence -0.72 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
DAL Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
DAL Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Unsupported state
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence 0 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Ruling expected points consequence -0.26 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
NYG Observed ruling consequence Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
02
Coaching decisions Fourth-down choices judged using what was known before the play.
DAL Fourth down decision cost Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Chosen action ambiguous
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
DAL Fourth down decision cost 0 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Close call
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval. Chosen action: punt; preferred baseline action: punt; expected WP go/FG/punt: 0.55621/ NA/0.55741 A supported value is a model-relative estimate in a tested domain, not a proven causal cost. Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
DAL Fourth down decision cost 2.16 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval. Chosen action: punt; preferred baseline action: go; expected WP go/FG/punt: 0.39418/ NA/0.37260 A supported value is a model-relative estimate in a tested domain, not a proven causal cost. Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
NYG Fourth down decision cost Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Chosen action ambiguous
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
NYG Fourth down decision cost 0 percentage points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Close call
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval. Chosen action: punt; preferred baseline action: punt; expected WP go/FG/punt: 0.59213/ NA/0.61785 A supported value is a model-relative estimate in a tested domain, not a proven causal cost. Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
03
Fumble recoveries Who recovered loose balls compared with what the model expected.
NYG Fumble recoveries above expectation 1.46 recoveries SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Insufficient reference games
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 77 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
4 of 4 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
DAL Fumble recoveries above expectation -1.46 recoveries SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Insufficient reference games
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 77 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
4 of 4 eligible opportunities modeled.
Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
04
Kicking Field goals and extra points compared with the expected chance of making them.
NYG Field goal points above expectation 0 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
0 of 0 eligible opportunities modeled.
Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
DAL Field goal points above expectation 0 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
0 of 0 eligible opportunities modeled.
Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
NYG Extra point points above expectation 0.16 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON 63rd percentile This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 252 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
4 of 4 eligible opportunities modeled.
Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
DAL Extra point points above expectation -0.48 points SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON 84th percentile This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 252 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
3 of 3 eligible opportunities modeled.
Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
05
Player execution Recorded drops, catch opportunities, and other player mistakes when detailed data is available.
NYG Charted drops 0 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
29 of 29 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
DAL Charted drops 3 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
34 of 34 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
NYG Interception worthy throws 1 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
29 of 29 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
DAL Interception worthy throws 1 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
34 of 34 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
NYG QB attributed sacks 0 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
2 of 2 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
DAL QB attributed sacks Unavailable UnavailableHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Charting tag missing
0 of 0 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
NYG Catchable targets 22 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
29 of 29 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
DAL Catchable targets 27 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
34 of 34 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
NYG Contested targets 0 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
29 of 29 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
DAL Contested targets 2 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
34 of 34 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
NYG Receiver created receptions 0 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
29 of 29 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
DAL Receiver created receptions 0 count SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
34 of 34 eligible opportunities modeled.
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model: FTN-charting
06
Penalty patterns Whether the pattern of penalties looks unusual. The count alone cannot show that a call was wrong.
DAL Presnap called penalties above expectation -0.18 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
59 of 59 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 1 across 59 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 0. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
DAL Offensive holding called penalties above expectation -0.14 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
59 of 59 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 1 across 59 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 0. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
DAL Defensive holding called penalties above expectation -0.38 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
31 of 31 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 0 across 31 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 0. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
DAL Pass interference called penalties above expectation -0.39 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
31 of 31 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 0 across 31 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 0. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
NYG Presnap called penalties above expectation 2.66 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
71 of 71 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 4 across 71 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 0. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
NYG Offensive holding called penalties above expectation -0.11 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
71 of 71 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 1 across 71 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 0. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
NYG Defensive holding called penalties above expectation -0.47 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
39 of 39 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 0 across 39 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 0. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
NYG Pass interference called penalties above expectation 3.51 calls SupportedHISTORICAL COMPARISON Historical percentile unavailable Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
39 of 39 eligible opportunities modeled.
Called/enforced penalties, not adjudicated foul correctness. Family-specific opportunity counts; prior-game team/opponent tendencies; crew effects not normalized away. Observed 4 across 39 opportunities; penalty-generated first downs 4. Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Defensive penalty on NYG awarded DAL a first down on third down; call correctness requires review. 2 defensive penalty first downs on third or fourth down occurred on DAL drive 5; review the sequence together. Estimated chance to win moved 0.0 percentage points across this play.
Q2 · 15:00 Recorded game event
New York Giants · Play 907 (15:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-55-J.Barham, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 31 - No Play.
Defensive penalty on DAL awarded NYG a first down on third down; call correctness requires review. Estimated chance to win moved 3.2 percentage points across this play.
Show 2 more plays Q4 · 02:10 Recorded game event
New York Giants · Play 3973 (2:10) 64-A.Stinnie reported in as eligible. 6-J.Dart right end to DAL 46 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 13-C.Downs). PENALTY on DAL-6-D.Ezeiruaku, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 46.
Recorded penalty late in a one score game; correctness and impact require review. Estimated chance to win moved 0.3 percentage points across this play.
Q4 · 03:01 Recorded game event
New York Giants · Play 3902 (3:01) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-72-J.Eluemunor, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 40 - No Play.
Recorded penalty late in a one score game; correctness and impact require review. Estimated chance to win moved 0.0 percentage points across this play.
Play 107
(14:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 37 for 8 yards (20-G.Newsome). The ball spot was assisted by replay.
Q113:18 (13:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL, Delay of Game, 4 yards, enforced at DAL 37 - No Play. Play 132 (13:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL, Delay of Game, 4 yards, enforced at DAL 37 - No Play.
Q112:59 (12:59) 5-B.Anger punts 50 yards to NYG 17, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 87-B.Berrios. Play 160 (12:59) 5-B.Anger punts 50 yards to NYG 17, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 87-B.Berrios.
Q112:53 (12:53) 44-C.Skattebo right tackle to NYG 22 for 5 yards (97-K.Clark). Play 180 (12:53) 44-C.Skattebo right tackle to NYG 22 for 5 yards (97-K.Clark).
Q112:12 (12:12) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to NYG 26 for 4 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku). Play 202 (12:12) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to NYG 26 for 4 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).
Q111:34 (11:34) 6-J.Dart up the middle to NYG 27 for 1 yard (0-D.Overshown; 91-O.Ogbonnia). Play 224 (11:34) 6-J.Dart up the middle to NYG 27 for 1 yard (0-D.Overshown; 91-O.Ogbonnia).
Q110:49 (10:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 1-M.Nabers to NYG 36 for 9 yards (26-D.Bland). Play 246 (10:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 1-M.Nabers to NYG 36 for 9 yards (26-D.Bland).
Q110:09 (10:09) 44-C.Skattebo right end to NYG 39 for 3 yards (53-D.Winters; 34-J.Thompson). PENALTY on DAL-92-Q.Williams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 36 - No Play. Play 271 (10:09) 44-C.Skattebo right end to NYG 39 for 3 yards (53-D.Winters; 34-J.Thompson). PENALTY on DAL-92-Q.Williams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 36 - No Play.
Q109:43 (9:43) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short middle to 45-P.Ricard (99-L.Overton). Play 304 (9:43) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short middle to 45-P.Ricard (99-L.Overton).
Q109:38 (9:38) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart left end ran ob at DAL 37 for 22 yards (0-D.Overshown). PENALTY on DAL-0-D.Overshown, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 37. Play 327 (9:38) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart left end ran ob at DAL 37 for 22 yards (0-D.Overshown). PENALTY on DAL-0-D.Overshown, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 37.
Q109:05 (9:05) 26-D.Singletary right tackle to DAL 19 for 3 yards (57-M.Lawrence; 34-J.Thompson). Play 370 (9:05) 26-D.Singletary right tackle to DAL 19 for 3 yards (57-M.Lawrence; 34-J.Thompson).
Q108:19 (8:19) 44-C.Skattebo right guard to DAL 16 for 3 yards (0-D.Overshown; 26-D.Bland). Play 392 (8:19) 44-C.Skattebo right guard to DAL 16 for 3 yards (0-D.Overshown; 26-D.Bland).
Q107:32 Timeout #1 by NYG at 07:32. Play 426 Timeout #1 by NYG at 07:32.
Q107:32 (7:32) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 3 for 13 yards (24-M.Hooker). Play 414 (7:32) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 3 for 13 yards (24-M.Hooker).
Q106:45 (6:45) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play 446 (6:45) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q106:40 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. Play 469 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
Q106:40 34-D.Zvada kicks 60 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 22 for 17 yards (54-M.Harrison). PENALTY on DAL-18-J.Mingo, Low Block, 11 yards, enforced at DAL 22. Play 484 34-D.Zvada kicks 60 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 22 for 17 yards (54-M.Harrison). PENALTY on DAL-18-J.Mingo, Low Block, 11 yards, enforced at DAL 22.
Q106:35 (6:35) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 16 for 5 yards (52-A.Reese). Play 525 (6:35) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 16 for 5 yards (52-A.Reese).
Q106:05 (6:05) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 88-C.Lamb left end to DAL 16 for no gain (22-A.Phillips). Play 547 (6:05) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 88-C.Lamb left end to DAL 16 for no gain (22-A.Phillips).
Q105:23 (5:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 25 for 9 yards (22-A.Phillips). Play 571 (5:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 25 for 9 yards (22-A.Phillips).
Q104:48 (4:48) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford pushed ob at DAL 33 for 8 yards (52-A.Reese). Play 596 (4:48) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford pushed ob at DAL 33 for 8 yards (52-A.Reese).
Q104:11 (4:11) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 33 for no gain (3-A.Carter; 5-K.Thibodeaux). Play 626 (4:11) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 33 for no gain (3-A.Carter; 5-K.Thibodeaux).
Q103:28 (3:28) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 37 for 4 yards (57-C.Golston). Play 648 (3:28) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 37 for 4 yards (57-C.Golston).
Q102:59 (2:59) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left. Play 670 (2:59) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left.
Q102:52 (2:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford to DAL 43 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds). Play 693 (2:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford to DAL 43 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q102:11 (2:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens [52-A.Reese]. Penalty on DAL, Illegal Shift, declined. Play 718 (2:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens [52-A.Reese]. Penalty on DAL, Illegal Shift, declined.
Q102:05 (2:05) 5-B.Anger punts 46 yards to NYG 11, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 87-B.Berrios. Play 752 (2:05) 5-B.Anger punts 46 yards to NYG 11, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 87-B.Berrios.
Q101:59 (1:59) 44-C.Skattebo up the middle to NYG 16 for 5 yards (99-L.Overton; 34-J.Thompson). Play 772 (1:59) 44-C.Skattebo up the middle to NYG 16 for 5 yards (99-L.Overton; 34-J.Thompson).
Q101:18 (1:18) 29-T.Tracy left tackle to NYG 22 for 6 yards (7-R.Gary; 90-J.Bullard). Play 801 (1:18) 29-T.Tracy left tackle to NYG 22 for 6 yards (7-R.Gary; 90-J.Bullard).
Q100:33 (:33) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short right to 1-M.Nabers (2-C.Durant) [7-R.Gary]. Play 823 (:33) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short right to 1-M.Nabers (2-C.Durant) [7-R.Gary].
Q100:28 (:28) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to NYG 29 for 7 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 34-J.Thompson). FUMBLES (6-D.Ezeiruaku), recovered by NYG-45-P.Ricard at NYG 31. Play 846 (:28) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to NYG 29 for 7 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 34-J.Thompson). FUMBLES (6-D.Ezeiruaku), recovered by NYG-45-P.Ricard at NYG 31.
Q100:00 END QUARTER 1 Play 887 Q215:00 (15:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-55-J.Barham, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 31 - No Play. Play 907 (15:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-55-J.Barham, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 31 - No Play.
Q215:00 (15:00) 44-C.Skattebo left end to NYG 37 for 1 yard (91-O.Ogbonnia). Play 931 (15:00) 44-C.Skattebo left end to NYG 37 for 1 yard (91-O.Ogbonnia).
Q214:13 (14:13) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 1-M.Nabers to NYG 44 for 7 yards (13-C.Downs). Play 953 (14:13) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 1-M.Nabers to NYG 44 for 7 yards (13-C.Downs).
Q213:31 (13:31) 44-C.Skattebo right tackle to NYG 44 for no gain (97-K.Clark). Play 978 (13:31) 44-C.Skattebo right tackle to NYG 44 for no gain (97-K.Clark).
Q212:45 (12:45) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-76-J.Runyan, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 44 - No Play. Play 1000 (12:45) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-76-J.Runyan, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 44 - No Play.
Q212:38 (12:38) 15-J.Stout punts 46 yards to DAL 15, Center-58-B.Mann, downed by NYG-54-M.Harrison. Play 1024 (12:38) 15-J.Stout punts 46 yards to DAL 15, Center-58-B.Mann, downed by NYG-54-M.Harrison.
Q212:28 (12:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to DAL 25 for 10 yards (0-B.Burns). Play 1044 (12:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to DAL 25 for 10 yards (0-B.Burns).
Q211:50 (11:50) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 33-J.Williams left tackle to DAL 30 for 5 yards (27-T.Nubin). Play 1073 (11:50) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 33-J.Williams left tackle to DAL 30 for 5 yards (27-T.Nubin).
Q211:06 (11:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles right tackle to DAL 34 for 4 yards (20-G.Newsome; 49-T.Edmunds). Play 1097 (11:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles right tackle to DAL 34 for 4 yards (20-G.Newsome; 49-T.Edmunds).
Q210:25 (10:25) 33-J.Williams right guard to DAL 36 for 2 yards (57-C.Golston; 5-K.Thibodeaux). PENALTY on DAL-86-L.Schoonmaker, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 34 - No Play. Play 1119 (10:25) 33-J.Williams right guard to DAL 36 for 2 yards (57-C.Golston; 5-K.Thibodeaux). PENALTY on DAL-86-L.Schoonmaker, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 34 - No Play.
Q209:57 (9:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens (20-G.Newsome) [0-B.Burns]. PENALTY on NYG-20-G.Newsome, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at DAL 24 - No Play. Play 1152 (9:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens (20-G.Newsome) [0-B.Burns]. PENALTY on NYG-20-G.Newsome, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at DAL 24 - No Play.
Q209:50 (9:50) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left guard to NYG 35 for 3 yards (0-B.Burns). Play 1186 (9:50) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams left guard to NYG 35 for 3 yards (0-B.Burns).
Q209:13 (9:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 9-K.Turpin to NYG 27 for 8 yards (2-D.Banks). Play 1208 (9:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 9-K.Turpin to NYG 27 for 8 yards (2-D.Banks).
Q208:33 (8:33) (Shotgun) 31-E.Demercado left guard to NYG 23 for 4 yards (99-B.Okoye; 57-C.Golston). Play 1233 (8:33) (Shotgun) 31-E.Demercado left guard to NYG 23 for 4 yards (99-B.Okoye; 57-C.Golston).
Q207:50 (7:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams to NYG 12 for 11 yards (2-D.Banks). PENALTY on DAL-78-T.Steele, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 23 - No Play. Play 1255 (7:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams to NYG 12 for 11 yards (2-D.Banks). PENALTY on DAL-78-T.Steele, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 23 - No Play.
Q207:26 (7:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-L.Schoonmaker to NYG 21 for 12 yards (27-T.Nubin). Play 1291 (7:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-L.Schoonmaker to NYG 21 for 12 yards (27-T.Nubin).
Q206:45 (6:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 87-J.Ferguson (22-A.Phillips). PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at NYG 21 - No Play. Play 1316 (6:45) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 87-J.Ferguson (22-A.Phillips). PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at NYG 21 - No Play.
Q206:38 (6:38) 33-J.Williams right guard to NYG 1 for 1 yard (98-D.Reader). Play 1350 (6:38) 33-J.Williams right guard to NYG 1 for 1 yard (98-D.Reader).
Q205:59 (5:59) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to NYG 1 for no gain (49-T.Edmunds). Play 1372 (5:59) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right tackle to NYG 1 for no gain (49-T.Edmunds).
Q205:48 (5:48) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Play 1422 (5:48) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q205:44 17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. Play 1448 17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Q205:44 17-B.Aubrey kicks 58 yards from DAL 35 to NYG 7. 2-D.Banks to NYG 41 for 34 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford; 13-C.Downs). PENALTY on NYG-28-E.Campbell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 25. Play 1463 17-B.Aubrey kicks 58 yards from DAL 35 to NYG 7. 2-D.Banks to NYG 41 for 34 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford; 13-C.Downs). PENALTY on NYG-28-E.Campbell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 25.
Q205:38 (5:38) 6-J.Dart left end ran ob at NYG 31 for 16 yards (55-J.Barham). Play 1504 (5:38) 6-J.Dart left end ran ob at NYG 31 for 16 yards (55-J.Barham).
Q205:01 (5:01) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at NYG 31 for 0 yards (sack split by 6-D.Ezeiruaku and 90-J.Bullard). Play 1531 (5:01) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at NYG 31 for 0 yards (sack split by 6-D.Ezeiruaku and 90-J.Bullard).
Q204:19 (4:19) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep left to 88-M.Fields [6-D.Ezeiruaku]. Play 1553 (4:19) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep left to 88-M.Fields [6-D.Ezeiruaku].
Q204:14 (4:14) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 9-I.Likely pushed ob at 50 for 19 yards (28-S.Revel) [92-Q.Williams]. Play 1576 (4:14) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 9-I.Likely pushed ob at 50 for 19 yards (28-S.Revel) [92-Q.Williams].
Q203:39 (3:39) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to DAL 47 for 3 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia). Play 1606 (3:39) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to DAL 47 for 3 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia).
Q203:01 (3:01) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 88-M.Fields pushed ob at DAL 28 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters). Play 1628 (3:01) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 88-M.Fields pushed ob at DAL 28 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters).
Q202:36 (2:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at DAL 36 for -8 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs) [13-C.Downs], recovered by NYG-76-J.Runyan at DAL 34. 76-J.Runyan to DAL 29 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters). Play 1658 (2:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at DAL 36 for -8 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs) [13-C.Downs], recovered by NYG-76-J.Runyan at DAL 34. 76-J.Runyan to DAL 29 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters).
Q202:00 (2:00) (Shotgun) 29-T.Tracy left end to DAL 21 for 8 yards (92-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (92-Q.Williams), RECOVERED by DAL-28-S.Revel at DAL 19. 28-S.Revel to DAL 16 for -3 yards (78-A.Thomas). Play 1688 (2:00) (Shotgun) 29-T.Tracy left end to DAL 21 for 8 yards (92-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (92-Q.Williams), RECOVERED by DAL-28-S.Revel at DAL 19. 28-S.Revel to DAL 16 for -3 yards (78-A.Thomas).
Q201:50 (1:50) 33-J.Williams right guard to DAL 22 for 6 yards (52-A.Reese). Play 1733 (1:50) 33-J.Williams right guard to DAL 22 for 6 yards (52-A.Reese).
Q201:24 (1:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens. Play 1769 (1:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens.
Q201:18 (1:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at DAL 31 for 9 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux). Play 1793 (1:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at DAL 31 for 9 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux).
Q201:13 (1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left [5-K.Thibodeaux]. Play 1823 (1:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left [5-K.Thibodeaux].
Q201:07 (1:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to DAL 36 for 5 yards (2-D.Banks). Play 1846 (1:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to DAL 36 for 5 yards (2-D.Banks).
Q200:58 Timeout #1 by DAL at 00:58. Play 1883 Timeout #1 by DAL at 00:58.
Q200:58 (:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG 45. 8-J.Holland ran ob at NYG 45 for no gain. Play 1871 (:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG 45. 8-J.Holland ran ob at NYG 45 for no gain.
Q200:49 (:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short left to 1-M.Nabers. Play 1910 (:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short left to 1-M.Nabers.
Q200:45 (:45) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 88-M.Fields to DAL 49 for 6 yards (26-D.Bland). Play 1940 (:45) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 88-M.Fields to DAL 49 for 6 yards (26-D.Bland).
Q200:40 Timeout #2 by NYG at 00:40. Play 1977 Timeout #2 by NYG at 00:40.
Q200:40 (:40) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-76-J.Runyan, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 49 - No Play. Play 1965 (:40) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-76-J.Runyan, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 49 - No Play.
Q200:40 (:40) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep left to 1-M.Nabers ran ob at DAL 38 for 16 yards. Play 1996 (:40) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep left to 1-M.Nabers ran ob at DAL 38 for 16 yards.
Q200:35 (:35) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep right to 17-D.Mooney ran ob at DAL 20 for 18 yards. Play 2026 (:35) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep right to 17-D.Mooney ran ob at DAL 20 for 18 yards.
Q200:31 (:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely pushed ob at DAL 15 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters). Play 2056 (:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely pushed ob at DAL 15 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters).
Q200:25 (:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play 2086 (:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q200:20 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. Play 2112 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
Q200:20 34-D.Zvada kicks 64 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 1. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 32 for 31 yards (54-M.Harrison). Play 2127 34-D.Zvada kicks 64 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 1. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 32 for 31 yards (54-M.Harrison).
Q200:14 Timeout #3 by NYG at 00:14. Play 2162 Timeout #3 by NYG at 00:14.
Q200:14 (:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 38 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds). Play 2150 (:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 38 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q200:09 Timeout #2 by DAL at 00:09. Play 2195 Timeout #2 by DAL at 00:09.
Q200:09 (:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy (2-D.Banks). Play 2183 (:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy (2-D.Banks).
Q200:03 (:03) (Shotgun) 30-H.Luepke up the middle to DAL 45 for 7 yards (57-C.Golston). Play 2213 (:03) (Shotgun) 30-H.Luepke up the middle to DAL 45 for 7 yards (57-C.Golston).
Q200:00 END QUARTER 2 Play 2235 Q315:00 17-B.Aubrey kicks 59 yards from DAL 35 to NYG 6. 2-D.Banks MUFFS catch, and recovers at NYG 7. 2-D.Banks to NYG 26 for 19 yards (14-M.Bell). Play 2255 17-B.Aubrey kicks 59 yards from DAL 35 to NYG 6. 2-D.Banks MUFFS catch, and recovers at NYG 7. 2-D.Banks to NYG 26 for 19 yards (14-M.Bell).
Q314:55 (14:55) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to NYG 31 for 5 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 0-D.Overshown). Play 2278 (14:55) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to NYG 31 for 5 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 0-D.Overshown).
Q314:16 (14:16) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo right guard to NYG 38 for 7 yards (2-C.Durant; 34-J.Thompson). Play 2300 (14:16) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo right guard to NYG 38 for 7 yards (2-C.Durant; 34-J.Thompson).
Q313:41 (13:41) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 84-T.Johnson to NYG 47 for 9 yards (34-J.Thompson). Play 2335 (13:41) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 84-T.Johnson to NYG 47 for 9 yards (34-J.Thompson).
Q312:53 (12:53) 44-C.Skattebo left guard to DAL 46 for 7 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku). Play 2361 (12:53) 44-C.Skattebo left guard to DAL 46 for 7 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).
Q312:08 (12:08) 26-D.Singletary left guard to DAL 45 for 1 yard (13-C.Downs; 92-Q.Williams). Play 2383 (12:08) 26-D.Singletary left guard to DAL 45 for 1 yard (13-C.Downs; 92-Q.Williams).
Q311:25 (11:25) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 29 for 16 yards (13-C.Downs). Play 2405 (11:25) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 29 for 16 yards (13-C.Downs).
Q310:37 (10:37) 26-D.Singletary up the middle to DAL 27 for 2 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia; 0-D.Overshown). Play 2430 (10:37) 26-D.Singletary up the middle to DAL 27 for 2 yards (91-O.Ogbonnia; 0-D.Overshown).
Q309:55 (9:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 17-D.Mooney to DAL 18 for 9 yards (53-D.Winters). Play 2452 (9:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 17-D.Mooney to DAL 18 for 9 yards (53-D.Winters).
Q309:13 Timeout #1 by DAL at 09:13. Play 2489 Timeout #1 by DAL at 09:13.
Q309:13 (9:13) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to DAL 17 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 0-D.Overshown). Play 2477 (9:13) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to DAL 17 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 0-D.Overshown).
Q308:28 (8:28) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 4 for 13 yards (34-J.Thompson). Play 2506 (8:28) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 4 for 13 yards (34-J.Thompson).
Q307:44 (7:44) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to DAL 2 for 2 yards (13-C.Downs; 6-D.Ezeiruaku). Play 2531 (7:44) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to DAL 2 for 2 yards (13-C.Downs; 6-D.Ezeiruaku).
Q307:04 (7:04) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play 2553 (7:04) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q306:59 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. Play 2579 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
Q306:59 34-D.Zvada kicks 64 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 1. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 25 for 24 yards (24-A.Washington; 57-C.Golston). Play 2594 34-D.Zvada kicks 64 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 1. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 25 for 24 yards (24-A.Washington; 57-C.Golston).
Q306:53 (6:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy. Play 2624 (6:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy.
Q306:51 (6:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 38 for 13 yards (49-T.Edmunds). Play 2647 (6:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 38 for 13 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q306:18 (6:18) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right [3-A.Carter]. Play 2672 (6:18) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right [3-A.Carter].
Q306:13 (6:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 49 for 11 yards (2-D.Banks). Play 2695 (6:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 49 for 11 yards (2-D.Banks).
Q305:34 (5:34) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to NYG 44 for 7 yards (27-T.Nubin). Play 2720 (5:34) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to NYG 44 for 7 yards (27-T.Nubin).
Q304:53 (4:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to NYG 34 for 10 yards (52-A.Reese). Play 2742 (4:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to NYG 34 for 10 yards (52-A.Reese).
Q304:13 (4:13) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to NYG 26 for 8 yards (8-J.Holland). Play 2767 (4:13) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to NYG 26 for 8 yards (8-J.Holland).
Q303:37 (3:37) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 11 yards, enforced at NYG 26 - No Play. Play 2789 (3:37) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 11 yards, enforced at NYG 26 - No Play.
Q303:31 (3:31) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 31-E.Demercado up the middle to NYG 12 for 3 yards (49-T.Edmunds). Play 2823 (3:31) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 31-E.Demercado up the middle to NYG 12 for 3 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q302:47 (2:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to NYG 17 for -5 yards (52-A.Reese, 3-A.Carter). Play 2847 (2:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to NYG 17 for -5 yards (52-A.Reese, 3-A.Carter).
Q301:59 (1:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 2 for 15 yards (21-P.Adebo). Play 2872 (1:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 2 for 15 yards (21-P.Adebo).
Q301:28 (1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 1 yard, enforced at NYG 2 - No Play. Play 2897 (1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 1 yard, enforced at NYG 2 - No Play.
Q301:25 (1:25) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to NYG 1 for no gain (49-T.Edmunds). Play 2931 (1:25) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to NYG 1 for no gain (49-T.Edmunds).
Q300:41 (:41) 33-J.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Play 2956 (:41) 33-J.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q300:37 17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. Play 2979 17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Q300:37 17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NYG 35. Play 2994 17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the NYG 35.
Q300:37 (:37) 6-J.Dart scrambles right end ran ob at NYG 37 for 2 yards (55-J.Barham). DAL-24-M.Hooker was injured during the play. Play 3018 (:37) 6-J.Dart scrambles right end ran ob at NYG 37 for 2 yards (55-J.Barham). DAL-24-M.Hooker was injured during the play.
Q300:00 END QUARTER 3 Play 3062 Q415:00 (15:00) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart right end to NYG 44 for 7 yards (57-M.Lawrence; 26-D.Bland). Play 3089 (15:00) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart right end to NYG 44 for 7 yards (57-M.Lawrence; 26-D.Bland).
Q414:20 (14:20) 6-J.Dart left guard to NYG 46 for 2 yards (57-M.Lawrence). Play 3111 (14:20) 6-J.Dart left guard to NYG 46 for 2 yards (57-M.Lawrence).
Q413:38 (13:38) 6-J.Dart scrambles up the middle to DAL 46 for 8 yards (55-J.Barham; 0-D.Overshown). Play 3133 (13:38) 6-J.Dart scrambles up the middle to DAL 46 for 8 yards (55-J.Barham; 0-D.Overshown).
Q412:55 (12:55) 44-C.Skattebo left guard to DAL 38 for 8 yards (55-J.Barham; 1-P.Locke). Play 3155 (12:55) 44-C.Skattebo left guard to DAL 38 for 8 yards (55-J.Barham; 1-P.Locke).
Q412:10 (12:10) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep right to 88-M.Fields. Play 3177 (12:10) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep right to 88-M.Fields.
Q412:04 (12:04) 44-C.Skattebo left end to DAL 31 for 7 yards (2-C.Durant). FUMBLES (2-C.Durant), and recovers at DAL 29. 44-C.Skattebo to DAL 28 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku). DAL-0-D.Overshown was injured during the play. Play 3200 (12:04) 44-C.Skattebo left end to DAL 31 for 7 yards (2-C.Durant). FUMBLES (2-C.Durant), and recovers at DAL 29. 44-C.Skattebo to DAL 28 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku). DAL-0-D.Overshown was injured during the play.
Q411:16 (11:16) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary to DAL 35 for -7 yards (55-J.Barham). Play 3241 (11:16) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary to DAL 35 for -7 yards (55-J.Barham).
Q410:27 (10:27) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 27 for 8 yards (26-D.Bland). Play 3273 (10:27) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 27 for 8 yards (26-D.Bland).
Q409:43 (9:43) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary pushed ob at DAL 14 for 13 yards (34-J.Thompson). Play 3298 (9:43) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary pushed ob at DAL 14 for 13 yards (34-J.Thompson).
Q409:02 (9:02) PENALTY on NYG, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 14 - No Play. Play 3328 (9:02) PENALTY on NYG, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 14 - No Play.
Q409:02 (9:02) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left end to DAL 16 for 3 yards (26-D.Bland; 55-J.Barham). Play 3352 (9:02) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left end to DAL 16 for 3 yards (26-D.Bland; 55-J.Barham).
Q408:16 (8:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary to DAL 9 for 7 yards (26-D.Bland; 34-J.Thompson). Play 3374 (8:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary to DAL 9 for 7 yards (26-D.Bland; 34-J.Thompson).
Q407:31 (7:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play 3399 (7:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q407:26 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. Play 3425 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.
Q407:26 34-D.Zvada kicks 64 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 1. 9-K.Turpin ran ob at DAL 26 for 25 yards (21-P.Adebo). Play 3440 34-D.Zvada kicks 64 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 1. 9-K.Turpin ran ob at DAL 26 for 25 yards (21-P.Adebo).
Q407:21 (7:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 88-C.Lamb (2-D.Banks). Play 3475 (7:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 88-C.Lamb (2-D.Banks).
Q407:15 (7:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams pushed ob at DAL 31 for 5 yards (20-G.Newsome). NYG-20-G.Newsome was injured during the play. Play 3498 (7:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams pushed ob at DAL 31 for 5 yards (20-G.Newsome). NYG-20-G.Newsome was injured during the play.
Q406:57 (6:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at DAL 37 for 6 yards (2-D.Banks). Play 3531 (6:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at DAL 37 for 6 yards (2-D.Banks).
Q406:41 (6:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 33-J.Williams to DAL 41 for 4 yards (49-T.Edmunds). Play 3578 (6:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 33-J.Williams to DAL 41 for 4 yards (49-T.Edmunds).
Q406:19 (6:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 18-J.Mingo pushed ob at NYG 49 for 10 yards (21-P.Adebo). Play 3603 (6:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 18-J.Mingo pushed ob at NYG 49 for 10 yards (21-P.Adebo).
Q405:53 (5:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 3-G.Pickens. Play 3633 (5:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 3-G.Pickens.
Q405:47 (5:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb. Play 3656 (5:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb.
Q405:42 (5:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at NYG 32 for 17 yards (8-J.Holland). PENALTY on NYG-8-J.Holland, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 32. Play 3679 (5:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at NYG 32 for 17 yards (8-J.Holland). PENALTY on NYG-8-J.Holland, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 32.
Q405:26 (5:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NYG-20-G.Newsome has returned to the game. PENALTY on DAL-33-J.Williams, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Play 3720 (5:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NYG-20-G.Newsome has returned to the game. PENALTY on DAL-33-J.Williams, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q405:21 17-B.Aubrey extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. Play 3762 17-B.Aubrey extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
Q405:21 17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to NYG 0. 87-B.Berrios to NYG 28 for 28 yards (11-A.Clark). Play 3780 17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to NYG 0. 87-B.Berrios to NYG 28 for 28 yards (11-A.Clark).
Q405:16 (5:16) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo up the middle to NYG 29 for 1 yard (7-R.Gary). Play 3810 (5:16) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo up the middle to NYG 29 for 1 yard (7-R.Gary).
Q404:34 (4:34) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep left to 1-M.Nabers. Play 3832 (4:34) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete deep left to 1-M.Nabers.
Q404:30 (4:30) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 9-I.Likely to NYG 41 for 12 yards (1-P.Locke). Play 3855 (4:30) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 9-I.Likely to NYG 41 for 12 yards (1-P.Locke).
Q403:45 (3:45) 44-C.Skattebo right end to NYG 40 for -1 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku). Play 3880 (3:45) 44-C.Skattebo right end to NYG 40 for -1 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).
Q403:01 (3:01) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-72-J.Eluemunor, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 40 - No Play. Play 3902 (3:01) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-72-J.Eluemunor, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 40 - No Play.
Q403:01 (3:01) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo left guard to NYG 48 for 13 yards (57-M.Lawrence). Play 3926 (3:01) (Shotgun) 44-C.Skattebo left guard to NYG 48 for 13 yards (57-M.Lawrence).
Q402:16 (2:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 47 for 5 yards (13-C.Downs). Play 3948 (2:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 47 for 5 yards (13-C.Downs).
Q402:10 Timeout #2 by DAL at 02:10. Play 3985 Timeout #2 by DAL at 02:10.
Q402:10 (2:10) 64-A.Stinnie reported in as eligible. 6-J.Dart right end to DAL 46 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 13-C.Downs). PENALTY on DAL-6-D.Ezeiruaku, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 46. Play 3973 (2:10) 64-A.Stinnie reported in as eligible. 6-J.Dart right end to DAL 46 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 13-C.Downs). PENALTY on DAL-6-D.Ezeiruaku, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 46.
Q402:03 (2:03) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to DAL 28 for 3 yards (26-D.Bland; 57-M.Lawrence). Play 4015 (2:03) 44-C.Skattebo left tackle to DAL 28 for 3 yards (26-D.Bland; 57-M.Lawrence).
Q401:58 (1:58) 44-C.Skattebo left end to DAL 20 for 8 yards (34-J.Thompson; 41-J.Houston). Play 4037 (1:58) 44-C.Skattebo left end to DAL 20 for 8 yards (34-J.Thompson; 41-J.Houston).
Q401:52 Timeout #3 by DAL at 01:52. Play 4078 Timeout #3 by DAL at 01:52.
Q401:52 (1:52) 6-J.Dart kneels to DAL 22 for -2 yards. Play 4066 (1:52) 6-J.Dart kneels to DAL 22 for -2 yards.
Q401:10 (1:10) 6-J.Dart kneels to DAL 24 for -2 yards. Play 4095 (1:10) 6-J.Dart kneels to DAL 24 for -2 yards.
Q400:34 (:34) 6-J.Dart kneels to DAL 25 for -1 yards. Play 4117 (:34) 6-J.Dart kneels to DAL 25 for -1 yards.
2
Game seconds remaining 2198
Half seconds remaining 398
Quarter seconds remaining 398
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG -3.72 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 2
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -7
Game seconds remaining 2198
Half seconds remaining 398
Quarter seconds remaining 398
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 2
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 4
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 21
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -7
Game seconds remaining 2198
Half seconds remaining 398
Quarter seconds remaining 398
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Q209:57 Penalty · DAL (9:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens (20-G.Newsome) [0-B.Burns]. PENALTY on NYG-20-G.Newsome, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at DAL 24 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG -10.37 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 38
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -7
Game seconds remaining 2390
Half seconds remaining 590
Quarter seconds remaining 590
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 2
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 11
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 76
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -7
Game seconds remaining 2390
Half seconds remaining 590
Quarter seconds remaining 590
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG -4.87 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 38
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -7
Game seconds remaining 2390
Half seconds remaining 590
Quarter seconds remaining 590
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 2
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 11
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 76
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -7
Game seconds remaining 2390
Half seconds remaining 590
Quarter seconds remaining 590
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Q215:00 Penalty · NYG (15:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-55-J.Barham, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 31 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG 3.19 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 64
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2700
Half seconds remaining 900
Quarter seconds remaining 900
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 2
Down 3
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 69
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2700
Half seconds remaining 900
Quarter seconds remaining 900
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG 0.74 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 64
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2700
Half seconds remaining 900
Quarter seconds remaining 900
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 2
Down 3
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 69
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2700
Half seconds remaining 900
Quarter seconds remaining 900
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Q113:18 Penalty · DAL (13:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL, Delay of Game, 4 yards, enforced at DAL 37 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG 2.85 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 1
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 5
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 67
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 0
Game seconds remaining 3498
Half seconds remaining 1698
Quarter seconds remaining 798
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 1
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 63
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 0
Game seconds remaining 3498
Half seconds remaining 1698
Quarter seconds remaining 798
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG 0.72 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 1
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 5
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 67
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 0
Game seconds remaining 3498
Half seconds remaining 1698
Quarter seconds remaining 798
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 1
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 63
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 0
Game seconds remaining 3498
Half seconds remaining 1698
Quarter seconds remaining 798
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Fourth down decision cost DAL Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q301:28 Penalty · DAL (1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 1 yard, enforced at NYG 2 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG -2.29 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 3
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 1
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 985
Half seconds remaining 985
Quarter seconds remaining 85
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 3
Down 2
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 2
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 985
Half seconds remaining 985
Quarter seconds remaining 85
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG -0.59 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 3
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 1
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 985
Half seconds remaining 985
Quarter seconds remaining 85
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 3
Down 2
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 2
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 985
Half seconds remaining 985
Quarter seconds remaining 85
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Q102:05 Fourth down · DAL (2:05) 5-B.Anger punts 46 yards to NYG 11, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 87-B.Berrios. + Fourth down decision cost DAL 2.16 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 1
Dome 0
Down 4
Era0 0
Era1 0
Era2 0
Era3 0
Era4 1
Roof outdoors
Type reg
Runoff 0
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 4
Outdoors 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Away total 25.25
Home total 22.25
Total line 47.5
Retractable 0
Spread line -3
Spread time -1.268076490022186
Yardline 100 57
Elapsed share 0.2152777777777778
Fg model roof 11
Posteam total 25.25
Receive 2h ko 0
Posteam spread 3
Original posteam DAL
Home receive 2h ko 1
Score differential -7
Home opening kickoff 0
Game seconds remaining 2825
Half seconds remaining 1025
Away timeouts remaining 3
Home timeouts remaining 2
Quarter seconds remaining 125
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Action go
ExpectedWp 0.3941785055522754 Assumptions Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval. Chosen action: punt; preferred baseline action: go; expected WP go/FG/punt: 0.39418/ NA/0.37260 A supported value is a model-relative estimate in a tested domain, not a proven causal cost. Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Q303:37 Penalty · DAL (3:37) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb. PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 11 yards, enforced at NYG 26 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG -1.9 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 3
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 15
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 1111
Half seconds remaining 1111
Quarter seconds remaining 211
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 3
Down 3
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 26
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 1111
Half seconds remaining 1111
Quarter seconds remaining 211
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG -1.41 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 3
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 15
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 1111
Half seconds remaining 1111
Quarter seconds remaining 211
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 3
Down 3
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 26
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential -14
Game seconds remaining 1111
Half seconds remaining 1111
Quarter seconds remaining 211
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Observed incomplete pass stands without enforcement; this is not an estimate of a foul-free play. Q212:45 Penalty · NYG (12:45) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-76-J.Runyan, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 44 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG -1 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 7
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 61
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2565
Half seconds remaining 765
Quarter seconds remaining 765
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 2
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 56
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2565
Half seconds remaining 765
Quarter seconds remaining 765
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG -0.5 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 7
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 61
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2565
Half seconds remaining 765
Quarter seconds remaining 765
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Qtr 2
Down 4
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 2
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 56
Receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 2565
Half seconds remaining 765
Quarter seconds remaining 765
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Fourth down decision cost NYG Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q409:02 Penalty · NYG (9:02) PENALTY on NYG, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 14 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG -0.42 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 4
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 15
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 19
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 542
Half seconds remaining 542
Quarter seconds remaining 542
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 4
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 14
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 542
Half seconds remaining 542
Quarter seconds remaining 542
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG -0.72 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 4
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 15
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 19
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 542
Half seconds remaining 542
Quarter seconds remaining 542
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 4
Down 1
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 10
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 14
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 7
Game seconds remaining 542
Half seconds remaining 542
Quarter seconds remaining 542
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Q112:59 Fourth down · DAL (12:59) 5-B.Anger punts 50 yards to NYG 17, Center-44-T.Sieg, fair catch by 87-B.Berrios. + Fourth down decision cost DAL 0 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 1
Dome 0
Down 4
Era0 0
Era1 0
Era2 0
Era3 0
Era4 1
Roof outdoors
Type reg
Runoff 0
Season 2026
Posteam DAL
Ydstogo 5
Outdoors 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Away total 25.25
Home total 22.25
Total line 47.5
Retractable 0
Spread line -3
Spread time -2.622604332823275
Yardline 100 67
Elapsed share 0.03361111111111111
Fg model roof 11
Posteam total 25.25
Receive 2h ko 0
Posteam spread 3
Original posteam DAL
Home receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 0
Home opening kickoff 0
Game seconds remaining 3479
Half seconds remaining 1679
Away timeouts remaining 3
Home timeouts remaining 3
Quarter seconds remaining 779
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Action punt
ExpectedWp 0.5574084471342313 Assumptions Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval. Chosen action: punt; preferred baseline action: punt; expected WP go/FG/punt: 0.55621/ NA/0.55741 A supported value is a model-relative estimate in a tested domain, not a proven causal cost. Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Q212:38 Fourth down · NYG (12:38) 15-J.Stout punts 46 yards to DAL 15, Center-58-B.Mann, downed by NYG-54-M.Harrison. + Fourth down decision cost NYG 0 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 2
Dome 0
Down 4
Era0 0
Era1 0
Era2 0
Era3 0
Era4 1
Roof outdoors
Type reg
Runoff 0
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 7
Outdoors 1
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Away total 25.25
Home total 22.25
Total line 47.5
Retractable 0
Spread line -3
Spread time -0.9425507743612699
Yardline 100 61
Elapsed share 0.2894444444444444
Fg model roof 11
Posteam total 22.25
Receive 2h ko 1
Posteam spread -3
Original posteam NYG
Home receive 2h ko 1
Score differential 7
Home opening kickoff 0
Game seconds remaining 2558
Half seconds remaining 758
Away timeouts remaining 3
Home timeouts remaining 2
Quarter seconds remaining 758
Defteam timeouts remaining 3
Posteam timeouts remaining 2 Supported alternative
Action punt
ExpectedWp 0.6178509249933857 Assumptions Spread-adjusted nfl4th blended WP; distinct from officiating WP. Six seconds per action; no added successful-conversion runoff. No go-for-it turnover returns; kicking ignores kicker identity/weather; ordinary kickoff continuations only. Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty. Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately. Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval. Chosen action: punt; preferred baseline action: punt; expected WP go/FG/punt: 0.59213/ NA/0.61785 A supported value is a model-relative estimate in a tested domain, not a proven causal cost. Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Q403:01 Penalty · NYG (3:01) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-72-J.Eluemunor, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 40 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG 0 percentage points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 4
Down 2
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 16
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 65
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 8
Game seconds remaining 181
Half seconds remaining 181
Quarter seconds remaining 181
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 4
Down 2
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 11
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 60
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 8
Game seconds remaining 181
Half seconds remaining 181
Quarter seconds remaining 181
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative. Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning. Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Ruling expected points consequence NYG -0.26 points Supported
Actual state
Qtr 4
Down 2
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 16
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 65
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 8
Game seconds remaining 181
Half seconds remaining 181
Quarter seconds remaining 181
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Supported alternative
Qtr 4
Down 2
Roof outdoors
Season 2026
Posteam NYG
Ydstogo 11
Away team DAL
Home team NYG
Spread line 0
Yardline 100 60
Receive 2h ko 0
Score differential 8
Game seconds remaining 181
Half seconds remaining 181
Quarter seconds remaining 181
Defteam timeouts remaining 2
Posteam timeouts remaining 3 Assumptions Same-clock state without presnap enforcement; does not imply the foul was incorrectly called. Show the remaining 70 recorded events Q110:09 Penalty · NYG (10:09) 44-C.Skattebo right end to NYG 39 for 3 yards (53-D.Winters; 34-J.Thompson). PENALTY on DAL-92-Q.Williams, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 36 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q109:38 Penalty · NYG (9:38) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart left end ran ob at DAL 37 for 22 yards (0-D.Overshown). PENALTY on DAL-0-D.Overshown, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 37. + Observed ruling consequence NYG Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q106:40 Kick · NYG 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. + Extra point points above expectation NYG 0.16 points Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q106:40 Penalty · DAL 34-D.Zvada kicks 60 yards from NYG 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 22 for 17 yards (54-M.Harrison). PENALTY on DAL-18-J.Mingo, Low Block, 11 yards, enforced at DAL 22. + Observed ruling consequence DAL Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q102:11 Fourth down · DAL (2:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens [52-A.Reese]. Penalty on DAL, Illegal Shift, declined. + Observed ruling consequence DAL Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Charted drops DAL 3 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Q100:28 Fumble · NYG (:28) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to NYG 29 for 7 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 34-J.Thompson). FUMBLES (6-D.Ezeiruaku), recovered by NYG-45-P.Ricard at NYG 31. + Fumble recoveries above expectation NYG 1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Fumble recoveries above expectation DAL -1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q210:25 Penalty · DAL (10:25) 33-J.Williams right guard to DAL 36 for 2 yards (57-C.Golston; 5-K.Thibodeaux). PENALTY on DAL-86-L.Schoonmaker, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 34 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence DAL Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q207:50 Penalty · DAL (7:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams to NYG 12 for 11 yards (2-D.Banks). PENALTY on DAL-78-T.Steele, Illegal Use of Hands, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 23 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence DAL Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q205:44 Kick · DAL 17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. + Extra point points above expectation DAL -0.48 points Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
Q205:44 Penalty · NYG 17-B.Aubrey kicks 58 yards from DAL 35 to NYG 7. 2-D.Banks to NYG 41 for 34 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford; 13-C.Downs). PENALTY on NYG-28-E.Campbell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 25. + Observed ruling consequence NYG Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q202:36 Fumble · NYG (2:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Dart sacked at DAL 36 for -8 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs) [13-C.Downs], recovered by NYG-76-J.Runyan at DAL 34. 76-J.Runyan to DAL 29 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters). + Fumble recoveries above expectation NYG 1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Fumble recoveries above expectation DAL -1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q202:00 Fumble · NYG (2:00) (Shotgun) 29-T.Tracy left end to DAL 21 for 8 yards (92-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (92-Q.Williams), RECOVERED by DAL-28-S.Revel at DAL 19. 28-S.Revel to DAL 16 for -3 yards (78-A.Thomas). + Fumble recoveries above expectation NYG 1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Fumble recoveries above expectation DAL -1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q200:40 Penalty · NYG (:40) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYG-76-J.Runyan, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 49 - No Play. + Observed ruling consequence NYG Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q200:20 Kick · NYG 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. + Extra point points above expectation NYG 0.16 points Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q306:59 Kick · NYG 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. + Extra point points above expectation NYG 0.16 points Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q300:37 Kick · DAL 17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. + Extra point points above expectation DAL -0.48 points Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
Q412:04 Fumble · NYG (12:04) 44-C.Skattebo left end to DAL 31 for 7 yards (2-C.Durant). FUMBLES (2-C.Durant), and recovers at DAL 29. 44-C.Skattebo to DAL 28 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku). DAL-0-D.Overshown was injured during the play. + Fumble recoveries above expectation NYG 1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Fumble recoveries above expectation DAL -1.46 recoveries Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ordinary single in-bounds fumbles only; recovery creation separated from recovery outcome. Recovery residual only; no unsupported recovery WP branches. Includes both own and opposing fumbles; two team views share the same events and sum to zero. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q407:26 Kick · NYG 34-D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout. + Extra point points above expectation NYG 0.16 points Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q405:42 Penalty · DAL (5:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at NYG 32 for 17 yards (8-J.Holland). PENALTY on NYG-8-J.Holland, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 32. + Observed ruling consequence DAL Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q405:26 Penalty · DAL (5:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NYG-20-G.Newsome has returned to the game. PENALTY on DAL-33-J.Williams, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. + Observed ruling consequence DAL Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q405:21 Kick · DAL 17-B.Aubrey extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger. + Extra point points above expectation DAL -0.48 points Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Nullified/blocked attempts and returns excluded; blocked kicks are not automatically kicker errors. Distance, era and reported roof; no weather or kicker-history adjustment in this model. Chronological training: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022; calibration: 2023 Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
Q402:10 Penalty · NYG (2:10) 64-A.Stinnie reported in as eligible. 6-J.Dart right end to DAL 46 for 1 yard (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 13-C.Downs). PENALTY on DAL-6-D.Ezeiruaku, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 46. + Observed ruling consequence NYG Unavailable Unavailable
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q201:24 Execution · DAL (1:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens. + Charted drops DAL 3 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q407:21 Execution · DAL (7:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 88-C.Lamb (2-D.Banks). + Charted drops DAL 3 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q100:33 Execution · NYG (:33) 6-J.Dart pass incomplete short right to 1-M.Nabers (2-C.Durant) [7-R.Gary]. + Interception worthy throws NYG 1 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q200:58 Execution · DAL (:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG 45. 8-J.Holland ran ob at NYG 45 for no gain. + Interception worthy throws DAL 1 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q110:49 Execution · NYG (10:49) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 1-M.Nabers to NYG 36 for 9 yards (26-D.Bland). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q107:32 Execution · NYG (7:32) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 3 for 13 yards (24-M.Hooker). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q214:13 Execution · NYG (14:13) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 1-M.Nabers to NYG 44 for 7 yards (13-C.Downs). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q204:14 Execution · NYG (4:14) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 9-I.Likely pushed ob at 50 for 19 yards (28-S.Revel) [92-Q.Williams]. + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q203:01 Execution · NYG (3:01) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 88-M.Fields pushed ob at DAL 28 for 19 yards (53-D.Winters). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q200:45 Execution · NYG (:45) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 88-M.Fields to DAL 49 for 6 yards (26-D.Bland). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q200:40 Execution · NYG (:40) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep left to 1-M.Nabers ran ob at DAL 38 for 16 yards. + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q200:35 Execution · NYG (:35) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass deep right to 17-D.Mooney ran ob at DAL 20 for 18 yards. + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q200:31 Execution · NYG (:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely pushed ob at DAL 15 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q200:25 Execution · NYG (:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q313:41 Execution · NYG (13:41) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 84-T.Johnson to NYG 47 for 9 yards (34-J.Thompson). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q311:25 Execution · NYG (11:25) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 29 for 16 yards (13-C.Downs). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q309:55 Execution · NYG (9:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 17-D.Mooney to DAL 18 for 9 yards (53-D.Winters). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q308:28 Execution · NYG (8:28) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 4 for 13 yards (34-J.Thompson). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q307:04 Execution · NYG (7:04) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q410:27 Execution · NYG (10:27) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 1-M.Nabers to DAL 27 for 8 yards (26-D.Bland). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q409:43 Execution · NYG (9:43) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary pushed ob at DAL 14 for 13 yards (34-J.Thompson). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q408:16 Execution · NYG (8:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary to DAL 9 for 7 yards (26-D.Bland; 34-J.Thompson). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q407:31 Execution · NYG (7:31) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q404:30 Execution · NYG (4:30) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 9-I.Likely to NYG 41 for 12 yards (1-P.Locke). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q402:16 Execution · NYG (2:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 47 for 5 yards (13-C.Downs). + Catchable targets NYG 22 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled
Q114:18 Execution · DAL (14:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 88-C.Lamb. + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q114:14 Execution · DAL (14:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 37 for 8 yards (20-G.Newsome). The ball spot was assisted by replay. + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Contested targets DAL 2 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q105:23 Execution · DAL (5:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 25 for 9 yards (22-A.Phillips). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q104:48 Execution · DAL (4:48) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford pushed ob at DAL 33 for 8 yards (52-A.Reese). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q102:52 Execution · DAL (2:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Spann-Ford to DAL 43 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q209:13 Execution · DAL (9:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 9-K.Turpin to NYG 27 for 8 yards (2-D.Banks). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q207:26 Execution · DAL (7:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-L.Schoonmaker to NYG 21 for 12 yards (27-T.Nubin). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q205:48 Execution · DAL (5:48) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Contested targets DAL 2 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q201:18 Execution · DAL (1:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at DAL 31 for 9 yards (5-K.Thibodeaux). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q201:07 Execution · DAL (1:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to DAL 36 for 5 yards (2-D.Banks). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q200:14 Execution · DAL (:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 38 for 6 yards (49-T.Edmunds). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q200:09 Execution · DAL (:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy (2-D.Banks). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q306:53 Execution · DAL (6:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy. + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q306:51 Execution · DAL (6:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 38 for 13 yards (49-T.Edmunds). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q306:13 Execution · DAL (6:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 49 for 11 yards (2-D.Banks). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q304:53 Execution · DAL (4:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to NYG 34 for 10 yards (52-A.Reese). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q302:47 Execution · DAL (2:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to NYG 17 for -5 yards (52-A.Reese, 3-A.Carter). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q301:59 Execution · DAL (1:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 2 for 15 yards (21-P.Adebo). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q301:25 Execution · DAL (1:25) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to NYG 1 for no gain (49-T.Edmunds). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q407:15 Execution · DAL (7:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams pushed ob at DAL 31 for 5 yards (20-G.Newsome). NYG-20-G.Newsome was injured during the play. + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q406:57 Execution · DAL (6:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at DAL 37 for 6 yards (2-D.Banks). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q406:41 Execution · DAL (6:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 33-J.Williams to DAL 41 for 4 yards (49-T.Edmunds). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Q406:19 Execution · DAL (6:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 18-J.Mingo pushed ob at NYG 49 for 10 yards (21-P.Adebo). + Catchable targets DAL 27 count Supported
Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
nflverse-schedules Retrieved Sep 22, 2026, 9:26 PM UTC License: CC-BY-4.0
Verify this snapshot SHA-256 80a63733a02def67f925c0bfe6bcd2896e9cc07627b63d792181c902e97d5b94
Model versions and technical record nflfastR / nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation Training window: Not established; retrospective evaluation is not claimed to be leakage-free.
Published training excludes ties/OT; pinned artifact training cutoff unverified.
nfl4th-adapted / under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 Training window: Not established; retrospective evaluation is not claimed to be leakage-free.
Rule-adapted experimental scenarios; recorded observed-action diagnostics do not identify unchosen counterfactual outcomes.
fumble / under-review-contextual-baselines-v1 Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
fg / under-review-contextual-baselines-v1 Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
xp / under-review-contextual-baselines-v1 Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
penalty / under-review-contextual-baselines-v1 Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
overtime-empirical / under-review-overtime-empirical-v1 Training window: 2017–2025; comparisons use strictly prior seasons
Experimental empirical overtime estimates for supported possession phases; not calibrated coaching or officiating costs. Points describe pre-play win/loss/tie probabilities, except END GAME is an observed outcome. Sparse, unsupported and ambiguous states remain unavailable.
game-profile-audit / under-review-game-audit-v4 Training window: 1999–2025; target comparisons use prior seasons only
Descriptive fixed-pattern historical comparisons and play review triggers; no intent or misconduct inference.
spread-reference / under-review-spread-v1 Training window: 1999–2025; strictly prior target seasons
Descriptive absolute margin error versus recorded closing spread; no misconduct probability; market-only rating capped at 3/5.
Analysis input hash: bc7b1187741cd2a8f2bde7efdd3255d5f8f8de6397d6dff58cb790a18165d38f
Report updates Each saved version stays available so you can see what changed.
Version 10 · Latest ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Sep 23, 2026, 10:18 PM UTC Version 9 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Sep 23, 2026, 9:03 PM UTC Version 8 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM UTC Version 7 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Sep 22, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC Version 6 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Sep 22, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC Version 5 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Sep 22, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC Version 4 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Sep 22, 2026, 4:18 AM UTC Version 3 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Sep 22, 2026, 2:18 AM UTC Version 2 ↗ Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported statistical findings changed.
Sep 21, 2026, 11:03 PM UTC Version 1 ↗ Early source data
Initial evidence-backed report.
Sep 21, 2026, 8:13 PM UTC
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
Home-team perspective in both states; opponent benefit is its negative.
Event-local comparison; never sum these into an alternate chance of winning.
Ties excluded from published WP training; no overtime model. Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 1/1 eligible events modeled
FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 34/34 eligible events modeled
Catchable targets NYG Actual state State not available.
Supported alternative No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions FTN charting labels, not calibrated outcome probabilities or error-attributable WPA. Coverage counts nonmissing charted labels; uncharted plays are not zero errors. FTN attribution and CC-BY-SA obligations apply. Model FTN-charting · 29/29 eligible events modeled