A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
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0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
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THE UNDERLYING RECORD
Source plays 166
Full play descriptions from this revision, including plays without a modeled event. A source description records the published outcome; it does not resolve whether a ruling was correct.
Retrieved Sep 21, 2026, 10:28 PM UTC License: CC-BY-4.0
Verify this snapshotSHA-256 43a7419984e498f6da7ca12a243ade176fcc74bc3d9ade4f8679076255e14249Model versions and technical record
About this chart
134 model estimates across 166 recorded game entries.
32 entries have no estimate.
Line connects available values; intermediate values are not calculated.
The horizontal axis follows recorded entries, not elapsed game time. Forecasts describe the state before a play. The line ends at the last available forecast.
View all chart data (166 entries)
Dallas Cowboys chance to win and estimate source for every recorded game entry
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 202 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 202 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 190 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 190 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
DALExtra point points above expectation0.12 points
Supported
HISTORICAL COMPARISON37th percentile
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 252 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 252 games Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
Q110:0117-B.Aubrey kicks 56 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 9. 83-J.Lane MUFFS catch, and recovers at WAS 11. 83-J.Lane to WAS 19 for 8 yards (14-M.Bell; 30-H.Luepke).Play 324
17-B.Aubrey kicks 56 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 9. 83-J.Lane MUFFS catch, and recovers at WAS 11. 83-J.Lane to WAS 19 for 8 yards (14-M.Bell; 30-H.Luepke).
Q108:48(8:48) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 1-R.White to WAS 26 for 2 yards (55-J.Barham). DAL-1-P.Locke was injured during the play.Play 398
(8:48) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 1-R.White to WAS 26 for 2 yards (55-J.Barham). DAL-1-P.Locke was injured during the play.
Q106:55(6:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to WAS 11 for 10 yards (39-J.Reaves). Penalty on WAS-25-N.Cross, Defensive Holding, declined.Play 527
(6:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to WAS 11 for 10 yards (39-J.Reaves). Penalty on WAS-25-N.Cross, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q105:52(5:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right intended for 19-R.Flournoy INTERCEPTED by 25-N.Cross at WAS -6. 25-N.Cross tackled in End Zone, SAFETY NULLIFIED by Penalty (88-C.Lamb). PENALTY on WAS-90-C.Omenihu, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 11 - No Play.Play 609
(5:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right intended for 19-R.Flournoy INTERCEPTED by 25-N.Cross at WAS -6. 25-N.Cross tackled in End Zone, SAFETY NULLIFIED by Penalty (88-C.Lamb). PENALTY on WAS-90-C.Omenihu, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 11 - No Play.
Q103:05(3:05) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin to WAS 38 for 8 yards (2-C.Durant; 34-J.Thompson). PENALTY on WAS-17-T.McLaurin, Offensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 30 - No Play.Play 808
(3:05) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin to WAS 38 for 8 yards (2-C.Durant; 34-J.Thompson). PENALTY on WAS-17-T.McLaurin, Offensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 30 - No Play.
Q102:42(2:42) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 6-D.Brown to WAS 22 for 1 yard (53-D.Winters) [92-Q.Williams]. Penalty on WAS-6-D.Brown, Illegal Blindside Block, declined.Play 844
(2:42) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 6-D.Brown to WAS 22 for 1 yard (53-D.Winters) [92-Q.Williams]. Penalty on WAS-6-D.Brown, Illegal Blindside Block, declined.
Q214:25(14:25) 5-J.Daniels FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 15, recovered by WAS-22-J.Croskey-Merritt at DAL 20. 22-J.Croskey-Merritt to DAL 22 for -2 yards (53-D.Winters).Play 1055
(14:25) 5-J.Daniels FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 15, recovered by WAS-22-J.Croskey-Merritt at DAL 20. 22-J.Croskey-Merritt to DAL 22 for -2 yards (53-D.Winters).
Q213:40(13:40) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 1-R.White to DAL 9 for 13 yards (53-D.Winters; 55-J.Barham). DAL-53-D.Winters was injured during the play.Play 1082
(13:40) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 1-R.White to DAL 9 for 13 yards (53-D.Winters; 55-J.Barham). DAL-53-D.Winters was injured during the play.
Q210:13(10:13) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to WAS 19 for 9 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on WAS-39-J.Reaves, Unnecessary Roughness, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 19.Play 1299
(10:13) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to WAS 19 for 9 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on WAS-39-J.Reaves, Unnecessary Roughness, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 19.
Q209:5517-B.Aubrey kicks 57 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 8. 83-J.Lane MUFFS catch, and recovers at WAS 13. 83-J.Lane to WAS 34 for 21 yards (13-C.Downs).Play 1381
17-B.Aubrey kicks 57 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 8. 83-J.Lane MUFFS catch, and recovers at WAS 13. 83-J.Lane to WAS 34 for 21 yards (13-C.Downs).
Q208:01(8:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.McLaurin (26-D.Bland).Play 1486
(8:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.McLaurin (26-D.Bland).
Q207:21(7:21) 1-R.White up the middle to DAL 13 for 14 yards (14-M.Bell). PENALTY on DAL-34-J.Thompson, Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact, 7 yards, enforced at DAL 13.Play 1587
(7:21) 1-R.White up the middle to DAL 13 for 14 yards (14-M.Bell). PENALTY on DAL-34-J.Thompson, Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact, 7 yards, enforced at DAL 13.
Q202:51(2:51) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end to DAL 42 for 9 yards (13-C.Downs). ** Injury Update: DAL-53-D.Winters has returned to the game.Play 1912
(2:51) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end to DAL 42 for 9 yards (13-C.Downs). ** Injury Update: DAL-53-D.Winters has returned to the game.
Q315:0017-B.Aubrey kicks 39 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 26, short of landing zone. PENALTY on DAL-17-B.Aubrey, Kickoff Short of Landing Zone, placed at WAS 40.Play 2258
17-B.Aubrey kicks 39 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 26, short of landing zone. PENALTY on DAL-17-B.Aubrey, Kickoff Short of Landing Zone, placed at WAS 40.
Q313:07(13:07) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete deep left to 6-D.Brown. Washington challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)Play 2379
(13:07) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete deep left to 6-D.Brown. Washington challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
Q307:15(7:15) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 6-D.Brown to WAS 18 for -6 yards (55-J.Barham). FUMBLES (55-J.Barham), RECOVERED by DAL-53-D.Winters at WAS 18. 53-D.Winters ran ob at WAS 13 for 5 yards.Play 2756
(7:15) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 6-D.Brown to WAS 18 for -6 yards (55-J.Barham). FUMBLES (55-J.Barham), RECOVERED by DAL-53-D.Winters at WAS 18. 53-D.Winters ran ob at WAS 13 for 5 yards.
Q306:27(6:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at WAS 28 for -7 yards (53-D.Winters). PENALTY on DAL-26-D.Bland, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 35 - No Play.Play 2910
(6:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at WAS 28 for -7 yards (53-D.Winters). PENALTY on DAL-26-D.Bland, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 35 - No Play.
Q304:22(4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short right to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt. PENALTY on WAS-74-B.Coleman, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 40 - No Play.Play 3007
(4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short right to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt. PENALTY on WAS-74-B.Coleman, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 40 - No Play.
Q302:49(2:49) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles right end to DAL 21 for 2 yards (7-R.Gary). PENALTY on WAS-72-J.Conerly, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 23 - No Play.Play 3116
(2:49) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles right end to DAL 21 for 2 yards (7-R.Gary). PENALTY on WAS-72-J.Conerly, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 23 - No Play.
Q302:25(2:25) (Shotgun) 6-D.Brown pass short left to 1-R.White to DAL 33 for no gain (92-Q.Williams; 40-V.Miller). The penalty was assisted by replay.Play 3149
(2:25) (Shotgun) 6-D.Brown pass short left to 1-R.White to DAL 33 for no gain (92-Q.Williams; 40-V.Miller). The penalty was assisted by replay.
Q411:32(11:32) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 1-R.White to DAL 43 for 6 yards (53-D.Winters). WAS-74-B.Coleman was injured during the play.Play 3535
(11:32) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 1-R.White to DAL 43 for 6 yards (53-D.Winters). WAS-74-B.Coleman was injured during the play.
Q409:0319-D.Stevens kicks 60 yards from WAS 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 40 for 35 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on DAL-42-C.Robinson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 27.Play 3707
19-D.Stevens kicks 60 yards from WAS 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 40 for 35 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on DAL-42-C.Robinson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 27.
Q407:23(7:23) 33-J.Williams right end to WAS 46 for 25 yards (25-N.Cross). WAS-99-J.Kinlaw was injured during the play. PENALTY on DAL-3-G.Pickens, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 31.Play 3835
(7:23) 33-J.Williams right end to WAS 46 for 25 yards (25-N.Cross). WAS-99-J.Kinlaw was injured during the play. PENALTY on DAL-3-G.Pickens, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 31.
Q405:40(5:40) 33-J.Williams left guard to WAS 29 for 9 yards (54-L.Chenal; 39-J.Reaves). WAS-99-J.Kinlaw was injured during the play. ** Injury Update: WAS-99-J.Kinlaw has returned to the game.Play 3930
(5:40) 33-J.Williams left guard to WAS 29 for 9 yards (54-L.Chenal; 39-J.Reaves). WAS-99-J.Kinlaw was injured during the play. ** Injury Update: WAS-99-J.Kinlaw has returned to the game.
Q403:0717-B.Aubrey kicks 55 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 10. 83-J.Lane to WAS 43 for 33 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs), and recovers at WAS 43.Play 4072
17-B.Aubrey kicks 55 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 10. 83-J.Lane to WAS 43 for 33 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs), and recovers at WAS 43.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q106:55Fourth down · DAL(6:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to WAS 11 for 10 yards (39-J.Reaves). Penalty on WAS-25-N.Cross, Defensive Holding, declined.+
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q105:52Penalty · DAL(5:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right intended for 19-R.Flournoy INTERCEPTED by 25-N.Cross at WAS -6. 25-N.Cross tackled in End Zone, SAFETY NULLIFIED by Penalty (88-C.Lamb). PENALTY on WAS-90-C.Omenihu, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 11 - No Play.+
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
Q103:05Penalty · WAS(3:05) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin to WAS 38 for 8 yards (2-C.Durant; 34-J.Thompson). PENALTY on WAS-17-T.McLaurin, Offensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 30 - No Play.+
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q102:42Fourth down · WAS(2:42) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 6-D.Brown to WAS 22 for 1 yard (53-D.Winters) [92-Q.Williams]. Penalty on WAS-6-D.Brown, Illegal Blindside Block, declined.+
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Show the remaining 17 recorded events
Q214:25Fumble · WAS(14:25) 5-J.Daniels FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 15, recovered by WAS-22-J.Croskey-Merritt at DAL 20. 22-J.Croskey-Merritt to DAL 22 for -2 yards (53-D.Winters).+
Close-call tolerance is a product rule of 1 percentage point, not model uncertainty.
Upstream training cutoff unverified; current-season validation status is documented separately.
Kickoff continuation scenarios: standard_own35, touchback_own20, prior_return_start_35, prior_return_start_31, prior_return_start_26; sensitivity is not a confidence interval.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
Q210:13Penalty · DAL(10:13) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to WAS 19 for 9 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on WAS-39-J.Reaves, Unnecessary Roughness, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 19.+
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q207:21Penalty · WAS(7:21) 1-R.White up the middle to DAL 13 for 14 yards (14-M.Bell). PENALTY on DAL-34-J.Thompson, Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact, 7 yards, enforced at DAL 13.+
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 2/2 eligible events modeled
Q315:00Penalty · WAS17-B.Aubrey kicks 39 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 26, short of landing zone. PENALTY on DAL-17-B.Aubrey, Kickoff Short of Landing Zone, placed at WAS 40.+
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q307:15Fumble · WAS(7:15) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 6-D.Brown to WAS 18 for -6 yards (55-J.Barham). FUMBLES (55-J.Barham), RECOVERED by DAL-53-D.Winters at WAS 18. 53-D.Winters ran ob at WAS 13 for 5 yards.+
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q306:27Penalty · WAS(6:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at WAS 28 for -7 yards (53-D.Winters). PENALTY on DAL-26-D.Bland, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 35 - No Play.+
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q304:22Penalty · WAS(4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short right to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt. PENALTY on WAS-74-B.Coleman, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 40 - No Play.+
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q302:49Penalty · WAS(2:49) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles right end to DAL 21 for 2 yards (7-R.Gary). PENALTY on WAS-72-J.Conerly, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 23 - No Play.+
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 2/2 eligible events modeled
Q409:03Penalty · DAL19-D.Stevens kicks 60 yards from WAS 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 40 for 35 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on DAL-42-C.Robinson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 27.+
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Assumptions
Ruling correctness is not assessed automatically.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Q407:23Penalty · DAL(7:23) 33-J.Williams right end to WAS 46 for 25 yards (25-N.Cross). WAS-99-J.Kinlaw was injured during the play. PENALTY on DAL-3-G.Pickens, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 31.+
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Q403:07Fumble · WAS17-B.Aubrey kicks 55 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 10. 83-J.Lane to WAS 43 for 33 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs), and recovers at WAS 43.+