Allowed 2 sacks, including 0 in overtime.
Opening the record…
Opening the record…
FINAL SCORE
GAME RATING
1 play deserves a closer look.
| Game statistic | WASLOSS | DALWIN |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 20 | 37 |
| Total offensive yards | 389 | 332 |
| Penalties | 5 | 5 |
| Penalty yards | 38 | 32 |
| Turnover margin | -1 | +1 |
| Non-offensive touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
Allowed 2 sacks, including 0 in overtime.
Opponent WAS was charged 5 penalties for 38 yards.
Opponent DAL was charged 5 penalties for 32 yards.
14,512 prior team-games · 1999–2025 seasons
Audit: under-review-game-audit-v3
Reference: nflverse-team-game-profile-v1
Reference SHA-256: 3d37b64650758d0b199dcf07eb5c2448a5b67d426020fbb5af351fb6cc965385HOW THE GAME MOVED
How a ruling changed the game state. Whether the ruling was correct is a separate question.
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Penalty declined
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Unsupported state
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Loading fan feedback…
These recorded events provide context. Their count does not determine the game rating.
(8:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.McLaurin (26-D.Bland).
Estimated chance to win moved 1.6 percentage points across this play.
THE UNDERLYING RECORD
Full play descriptions from this revision, including plays without a modeled event. A source description records the published outcome; it does not resolve whether a ruling was correct.
GAME
19-D.Stevens kicks 63 yards from WAS 35 to DAL 2. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 34 for 32 yards (80-C.Yankoff; 39-J.Reaves).
(14:53) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams pushed ob at DAL 42 for 8 yards (54-L.Chenal).
(14:26) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 42 for no gain (54-L.Chenal; 94-D.Payne).
Largest estimated individual impacts appear first. This order does not determine whether a call was right or wrong.
1.09 percentage points Supported
Updates automatically when source data changes.
This report uses the provider’s cleaned postgame data. Later corrections can still update the report.
Retrieved Sep 22, 2026, 4:39 AM UTC
License: CC-BY-4.0
SHA-256 ab0c455c4dc1db4bc8de52fe5cabc562f63b376d207265c78d7fbae9ffb4940bRetrieved Sep 22, 2026, 2:04 PM UTC
License: CC-BY-4.0
SHA-256 96452de58a2a2baefe9cc090fa3177fb84083d3183c83914b9e9d93f2bf7d281Retrieved Sep 23, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC
License: CC-BY-SA-4.0
SHA-256 55c29a825731ec1721ef9414babc2e51226f9e6dbee71b277cbbd19af0f11ebc134 model estimates across 166 recorded game entries.
32 entries have no estimate.
Line connects available values; intermediate values are not calculated.
The horizontal axis follows recorded entries, not elapsed game time. Forecasts describe the state before a play. The line ends at the last available forecast.
| Period | Clock | Source play | DAL win chance | Estimate source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 15:00 | Play 1 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q1 | 15:00 | Play 39 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q1 | 14:53 | Play 62 ↗ | 56.6% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 14:26 | Play 92 ↗ | 58.5% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 13:51 | Play 114 ↗ | 55.4% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 13:22 | Play 144 ↗ | 58.0% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 13:17 | Play 167 ↗ | 56.2% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 12:40 | Play 192 ↗ | 61.5% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 12:02 | Play 217 ↗ | 66.0% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 11:21 | Play 239 ↗ | 65.4% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 10:42 | Play 261 ↗ | 69.9% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 10:04 | Play 283 ↗ | 69.0% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 10:01 | Play 309 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q1 | 10:01 | Play 324 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q1 | 09:58 | Play 351 ↗ | 70.9% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 09:26 | Play 376 ↗ | 70.8% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 08:48 | Play 398 ↗ | 72.5% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 08:15 | Play 423 ↗ | 75.6% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 08:05 | Play 452 ↗ | 77.5% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 07:34 | Play 482 ↗ | 80.8% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 06:59 | Play 504 ↗ | 80.7% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 06:55 | Play 527 ↗ | 79.5% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 06:41 | Play 564 ↗ | 83.3% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 05:56 | Play 586 ↗ | 82.4% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 05:52 | Play 609 ↗ | 80.7% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 05:46 | Play 664 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q1 | 05:46 | Play 652 ↗ | 81.2% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 05:04 | Play 684 ↗ | 78.1% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 05:01 | Play 704 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q1 | 04:56 | Play 734 ↗ | 78.3% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 04:18 | Play 764 ↗ | 78.0% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 03:44 | Play 786 ↗ | 76.8% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 03:05 | Play 808 ↗ | 78.0% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 02:42 | Play 844 ↗ | 79.4% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 02:24 | Play 880 ↗ | 81.4% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 02:02 | Play 905 ↗ | 74.8% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 01:29 | Play 935 ↗ | 74.6% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 00:50 | Play 957 ↗ | 74.3% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 00:05 | Play 991 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q1 | 00:05 | Play 979 ↗ | 72.8% | Regulation model |
| Q1 | 00:00 | Play 1013 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 15:00 | Play 1033 ↗ | 69.8% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 14:25 | Play 1055 ↗ | 70.4% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 13:40 | Play 1082 ↗ | 75.4% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 13:22 | Play 1110 ↗ | 76.2% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 13:14 | Play 1137 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 13:08 | Play 1167 ↗ | 75.3% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 12:33 | Play 1192 ↗ | 76.9% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 12:00 | Play 1222 ↗ | 76.3% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 11:25 | Play 1252 ↗ | 78.6% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 10:49 | Play 1277 ↗ | 77.6% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 10:13 | Play 1299 ↗ | 79.0% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 09:59 | Play 1335 ↗ | 83.5% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 09:55 | Play 1366 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 09:55 | Play 1381 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 09:48 | Play 1420 ↗ | 85.5% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 09:12 | Play 1442 ↗ | 85.8% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 08:33 | Play 1464 ↗ | 83.8% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 08:01 | Play 1486 ↗ | 82.7% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 07:55 | Play 1558 ↗ | 84.4% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 07:21 | Play 1587 ↗ | 79.7% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 06:58 | Play 1620 ↗ | 78.9% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 06:40 | Play 1652 ↗ | 80.1% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 06:37 | Play 1678 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 06:37 | Play 1693 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 06:37 | Play 1717 ↗ | 77.6% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 05:56 | Play 1739 ↗ | 72.9% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 05:19 | Play 1764 ↗ | 71.8% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 05:13 | Play 1787 ↗ | 68.5% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 05:01 | Play 1813 ↗ | 69.1% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 04:20 | Play 1845 ↗ | 65.7% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 04:13 | Play 1868 ↗ | 68.3% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 03:33 | Play 1890 ↗ | 65.8% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 02:51 | Play 1912 ↗ | 67.7% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 02:04 | Play 1934 ↗ | 65.9% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 01:58 | Play 1972 ↗ | 67.7% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 01:17 | Play 2003 ↗ | 67.2% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:51 | Play 2028 ↗ | 63.0% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:29 | Play 2062 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 00:29 | Play 2050 ↗ | 62.3% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:21 | Play 2098 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 00:21 | Play 2086 ↗ | 64.6% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:17 | Play 2123 ↗ | 63.2% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:12 | Play 2157 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 00:12 | Play 2164 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 00:12 | Play 2145 ↗ | 58.4% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:08 | Play 2197 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q2 | 00:08 | Play 2182 ↗ | 59.4% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:03 | Play 2215 ↗ | 62.3% | Regulation model |
| Q2 | 00:00 | Play 2238 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q3 | 15:00 | Play 2258 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q3 | 15:00 | Play 2284 ↗ | 73.5% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 14:27 | Play 2318 ↗ | 72.6% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 13:48 | Play 2352 ↗ | 67.8% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 13:07 | Play 2379 ↗ | 69.6% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 13:01 | Play 2402 ↗ | 72.4% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 12:55 | Play 2461 ↗ | 75.8% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 12:50 | Play 2490 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q3 | 12:42 | Play 2520 ↗ | 73.4% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 12:11 | Play 2542 ↗ | 70.3% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 11:26 | Play 2567 ↗ | 69.3% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 10:47 | Play 2592 ↗ | 76.2% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 10:07 | Play 2614 ↗ | 78.9% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 09:27 | Play 2639 ↗ | 79.5% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 08:45 | Play 2664 ↗ | 81.3% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 08:04 | Play 2686 ↗ | 81.0% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 07:24 | Play 2706 ↗ | 75.1% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 07:20 | Play 2726 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q3 | 07:15 | Play 2756 ↗ | 76.6% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 07:08 | Play 2797 ↗ | 89.1% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 06:37 | Play 2824 ↗ | 88.9% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 06:32 | Play 2850 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q3 | 06:32 | Play 2865 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q3 | 06:32 | Play 2887 ↗ | 90.4% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 06:27 | Play 2910 ↗ | 91.4% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 06:05 | Play 2941 ↗ | 89.7% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 05:23 | Play 2963 ↗ | 89.6% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 04:57 | Play 2985 ↗ | 90.3% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 04:22 | Play 3007 ↗ | 90.4% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 04:11 | Play 3041 ↗ | 91.4% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 03:34 | Play 3071 ↗ | 88.3% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 02:55 | Play 3093 ↗ | 87.2% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 02:49 | Play 3116 ↗ | 87.9% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 02:25 | Play 3149 ↗ | 92.2% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 01:57 | Play 3185 ↗ | 93.8% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 01:53 | Play 3208 ↗ | 96.2% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 01:13 | Play 3237 ↗ | 96.3% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 00:36 | Play 3259 ↗ | 96.0% | Regulation model |
| Q3 | 00:00 | Play 3284 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q4 | 15:00 | Play 3304 ↗ | 97.1% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 14:19 | Play 3329 ↗ | 97.2% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 13:35 | Play 3354 ↗ | 97.0% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 13:27 | Play 3377 ↗ | 95.7% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 13:22 | Play 3397 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q4 | 13:18 | Play 3427 ↗ | 97.8% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 13:14 | Play 3450 ↗ | 98.1% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 12:36 | Play 3475 ↗ | 97.4% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 12:07 | Play 3505 ↗ | 97.3% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 11:32 | Play 3535 ↗ | 97.5% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 10:54 | Play 3563 ↗ | 97.5% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 10:49 | Play 3586 ↗ | 97.7% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 10:08 | Play 3611 ↗ | 97.0% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 09:39 | Play 3636 ↗ | 97.2% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 09:09 | Play 3666 ↗ | 97.0% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 09:03 | Play 3692 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q4 | 09:03 | Play 3707 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q4 | 08:58 | Play 3763 ↗ | 94.4% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 08:16 | Play 3788 ↗ | 94.8% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 07:41 | Play 3810 ↗ | 95.5% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 07:23 | Play 3835 ↗ | 96.1% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 07:04 | Play 3871 ↗ | 95.3% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 06:16 | Play 3900 ↗ | 95.2% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 05:40 | Play 3942 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q4 | 05:40 | Play 3930 ↗ | 97.4% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 05:17 | Play 3962 ↗ | 97.2% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 04:39 | Play 3987 ↗ | 97.5% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 03:54 | Play 4009 ↗ | 98.3% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 03:13 | Play 4031 ↗ | 98.8% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 03:07 | Play 4057 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q4 | 03:07 | Play 4072 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
| Q4 | 03:01 | Play 4095 ↗ | 99.9% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 02:23 | Play 4117 ↗ | 99.9% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 02:00 | Play 4159 ↗ | 99.9% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 01:16 | Play 4188 ↗ | 99.9% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 00:37 | Play 4210 ↗ | 99.9% | Regulation model |
| Q4 | 00:00 | Play 4232 ↗ | No estimate | State outside model coverage |
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Penalty declined
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Unsupported state
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Unsupported state
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Alternative requires review
0 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation
Fourth-down choices judged using what was known before the play.
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Kickoff assumption sensitive
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Kickoff assumption sensitive
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Close call
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Close call
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Close call
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Close call
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Close call
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1
Who recovered loose balls compared with what the model expected.
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 202 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 202 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
1 of 1 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1
Field goals and extra points compared with the expected chance of making them.
Insufficient reference games
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 190 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
3 of 3 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
Insufficient reference games
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 190 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
3 of 3 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 252 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
4 of 4 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
Insufficient tail support
This team's absolute residual versus each comparable game's largest absolute team residual; identical model, complete coverage and opportunity-count stratum. Direction remains in the signed metric; rarity is not intent.
Reference: 2024–2025 · 252 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
2 of 2 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09
Recorded drops, catch opportunities, and other player mistakes when detailed data is available.
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
31 of 31 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
35 of 35 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
31 of 31 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
35 of 35 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
2 of 2 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Incomplete or no opportunities
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
Charting tag missing
0 of 0 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
31 of 31 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
35 of 35 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
31 of 31 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
35 of 35 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
31 of 31 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: FTN-charting
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
35 of 35 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: FTN-charting
Whether the pattern of penalties looks unusual. The count alone cannot show that a call was wrong.
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
55 of 55 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
55 of 55 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
37 of 37 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
37 of 37 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
71 of 71 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
71 of 71 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
34 of 34 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Comparable reference unavailable
No comparable historical category reference. Direction remains in the signed metric.
Reference: · 0 games
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
Reference SHA-256: 97e43120e789b47b70694be8fccd56e8e901fa22d8565c3dea8f0019f2479aa1A measure of rarity in this comparison, not a probability of manipulation.
34 of 34 eligible opportunities modeled.
Model: under-review-contextual-baselines-v1
(13:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at DAL 46 for 4 yards (29-R.Douglas).
(13:22) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens [94-D.Payne].
(13:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to WAS 39 for 15 yards (45-K.Chaisson).
(12:40) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 88-C.Lamb to WAS 16 for 23 yards (2-A.Robertson).
(12:02) 33-J.Williams up the middle to WAS 14 for 2 yards (94-D.Payne).
(11:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles right end to WAS 3 for 11 yards (39-J.Reaves; 54-L.Chenal).
(10:42) 33-J.Williams up the middle to WAS 3 for no gain (99-J.Kinlaw).
(10:04) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
17-B.Aubrey kicks 56 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 9. 83-J.Lane MUFFS catch, and recovers at WAS 11. 83-J.Lane to WAS 19 for 8 yards (14-M.Bell; 30-H.Luepke).
(9:58) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 82-B.Sinnott to WAS 25 for 6 yards (1-P.Locke).
(9:26) (Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left guard to WAS 24 for -1 yards (92-Q.Williams).
(8:48) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 1-R.White to WAS 26 for 2 yards (55-J.Barham). DAL-1-P.Locke was injured during the play.
(8:15) 10-T.Way punts 47 yards to DAL 27, Center-69-T.Ott. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 36 for 9 yards (51-A.Kaho).
(8:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb ran ob at WAS 26 for 38 yards (25-N.Cross).
(7:34) 33-J.Williams left guard to WAS 21 for 5 yards (92-D.Armstrong).
(6:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 19-R.Flournoy (2-A.Robertson).
(6:55) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to WAS 11 for 10 yards (39-J.Reaves). Penalty on WAS-25-N.Cross, Defensive Holding, declined.
(6:41) 33-J.Williams left end to WAS 11 for no gain (98-O.Oweh).
(5:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 33-J.Williams [98-O.Oweh].
(5:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right intended for 19-R.Flournoy INTERCEPTED by 25-N.Cross at WAS -6. 25-N.Cross tackled in End Zone, SAFETY NULLIFIED by Penalty (88-C.Lamb). PENALTY on WAS-90-C.Omenihu, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 11 - No Play.
Timeout #1 by DAL at 05:46.
(5:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to WAS 6 for no gain (29-R.Douglas; 54-L.Chenal) [92-D.Armstrong].
(5:04) 17-B.Aubrey 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
17-B.Aubrey kicks 60 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 5. 83-J.Lane to WAS 18 for 13 yards (11-A.Clark; 59-T.Wheat).
(4:56) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt pushed ob at WAS 23 for 5 yards (7-R.Gary).
(4:18) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end to WAS 30 for 7 yards (53-D.Winters).
(3:44) (Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt up the middle to WAS 30 for no gain (13-C.Downs; 97-K.Clark).
(3:05) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 17-T.McLaurin to WAS 38 for 8 yards (2-C.Durant; 34-J.Thompson). PENALTY on WAS-17-T.McLaurin, Offensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 30 - No Play.
(2:42) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 6-D.Brown to WAS 22 for 1 yard (53-D.Winters) [92-Q.Williams]. Penalty on WAS-6-D.Brown, Illegal Blindside Block, declined.
(2:24) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin to WAS 46 for 24 yards (14-M.Bell).
(2:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 80-C.Yankoff pushed ob at DAL 40 for 14 yards (14-M.Bell).
(1:29) (Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt up the middle to DAL 38 for 2 yards (55-J.Barham).
(:50) (Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to DAL 32 for 6 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).
Timeout #2 by DAL at 00:05.
(:05) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end ran ob at DAL 14 for 18 yards (26-D.Bland).
END QUARTER 1
(15:00) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt up the middle to DAL 9 for 5 yards (13-C.Downs; 92-Q.Williams).
(14:25) 5-J.Daniels FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 15, recovered by WAS-22-J.Croskey-Merritt at DAL 20. 22-J.Croskey-Merritt to DAL 22 for -2 yards (53-D.Winters).
(13:40) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 1-R.White to DAL 9 for 13 yards (53-D.Winters; 55-J.Barham). DAL-53-D.Winters was injured during the play.
(13:22) 19-D.Stevens 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
19-D.Stevens kicks 63 yards from WAS 35 to DAL 2. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 35 for 33 yards (51-A.Kaho).
(13:08) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 47 for 12 yards (0-M.Sainristil).
(12:33) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at WAS 47 for 6 yards (0-M.Sainristil).
(12:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at WAS 37 for 10 yards (0-M.Sainristil).
(11:25) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to WAS 35 for 2 yards (39-J.Reaves).
(10:49) (Shotgun) 31-E.Demercado up the middle to WAS 28 for 7 yards (98-O.Oweh).
(10:13) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to WAS 19 for 9 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on WAS-39-J.Reaves, Unnecessary Roughness, 9 yards, enforced at WAS 19.
(9:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
17-B.Aubrey kicks 57 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 8. 83-J.Lane MUFFS catch, and recovers at WAS 13. 83-J.Lane to WAS 34 for 21 yards (13-C.Downs).
(9:48) (Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left tackle to WAS 38 for 4 yards (57-M.Lawrence).
(9:12) 5-J.Daniels scrambles up the middle to DAL 42 for 20 yards (34-J.Thompson).
(8:33) 1-R.White right guard to DAL 34 for 8 yards (26-D.Bland).
(8:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.McLaurin (26-D.Bland).
(7:55) (Shotgun) 1-R.White up the middle to DAL 27 for 7 yards (14-M.Bell).
(7:21) 1-R.White up the middle to DAL 13 for 14 yards (14-M.Bell). PENALTY on DAL-34-J.Thompson, Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact, 7 yards, enforced at DAL 13.
(6:58) 1-R.White right end pushed ob at DAL 4 for 2 yards (7-R.Gary).
(6:40) (No Huddle) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 3-S.Diggs for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19-D.Stevens extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
19-D.Stevens kicks 65 yards from WAS 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.
(6:37) 67-D.Shelton reported in as eligible. 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 26 for -9 yards (99-J.Kinlaw).
(5:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to DAL 31 for 5 yards (2-A.Robertson).
(5:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 3-G.Pickens [90-C.Omenihu].
(5:13) 5-B.Anger punts 48 yards to WAS 21, Center-44-T.Sieg. 83-J.Lane to WAS 35 for 14 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford).
(5:01) 5-J.Daniels pass short left to 1-R.White to WAS 44 for 9 yards (13-C.Downs).
(4:20) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 13-T.Burks.
(4:13) 71-A.Wylie reported in as eligible. 1-R.White right guard to WAS 48 for 4 yards (50-S.James).
(3:33) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left tackle to WAS 49 for 1 yard (99-L.Overton).
(2:51) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end to DAL 42 for 9 yards (13-C.Downs). ** Injury Update: DAL-53-D.Winters has returned to the game.
(2:04) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to 17-T.McLaurin (13-C.Downs).
(1:58) (Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left tackle to DAL 38 for 4 yards (14-M.Bell).
(1:17) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short middle to 3-S.Diggs to DAL 28 for 10 yards (34-J.Thompson).
(:51) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end to DAL 14 for 14 yards (2-C.Durant).
Timeout #1 by WAS at 00:29.
(:29) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels scrambles right end to DAL 13 for 1 yard (59-T.Wheat).
Timeout #2 by WAS at 00:21.
(:21) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 3-S.Diggs pushed ob at DAL 5 for 8 yards (26-D.Bland).
(:17) (Shotgun) 1-R.White up the middle to DAL 1 for 4 yards (34-J.Thompson; 50-S.James).
Timeout #3 by WAS at 00:12.
Timeout #3 by DAL at 00:12.
(:12) (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 17-T.McLaurin (2-C.Durant). DAL-2-C.Durant was injured during the play.
Timeout #4 by DAL at 00:08.
(:08) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 6-D.Brown.
(:03) 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short right [90-J.Bullard]. WAS-5-J.Daniels was injured during the play.
END QUARTER 2
17-B.Aubrey kicks 39 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 26, short of landing zone. PENALTY on DAL-17-B.Aubrey, Kickoff Short of Landing Zone, placed at WAS 40.
(15:00) (Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right guard to WAS 44 for 4 yards (7-R.Gary; 97-K.Clark).
(14:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 17-T.McLaurin to DAL 30 for 26 yards (34-J.Thompson; 55-J.Barham).
(13:48) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left end to DAL 29 for 1 yard (55-J.Barham; 53-D.Winters).
(13:07) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete deep left to 6-D.Brown. Washington challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)
(13:01) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete deep right to 3-S.Diggs [34-J.Thompson].
(12:55) 19-D.Stevens 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
19-D.Stevens kicks 64 yards from WAS 35 to DAL 1. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 36 for 35 yards (24-F.Moreau).
(12:42) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 35 for -1 yards (25-N.Cross).
(12:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to DAL 38 for 3 yards (2-A.Robertson).
(11:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to WAS 48 for 14 yards (2-A.Robertson).
(10:47) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right guard to WAS 41 for 7 yards (0-M.Sainristil; 52-S.Styles).
(10:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 3-G.Pickens to WAS 29 for 12 yards (54-L.Chenal).
(9:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 33-J.Williams to WAS 23 for 6 yards (92-D.Armstrong).
(8:45) 31-E.Demercado right tackle to WAS 22 for 1 yard (92-D.Armstrong).
(8:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at WAS 26 for -4 yards (45-K.Chaisson).
(7:24) 17-B.Aubrey 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 0. 83-J.Lane to WAS 24 for 24 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford; 30-H.Luepke).
(7:15) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 6-D.Brown to WAS 18 for -6 yards (55-J.Barham). FUMBLES (55-J.Barham), RECOVERED by DAL-53-D.Winters at WAS 18. 53-D.Winters ran ob at WAS 13 for 5 yards.
(7:08) (Shotgun) 9-K.Turpin left end ran ob at WAS 12 for 1 yard (2-A.Robertson).
(6:37) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
17-B.Aubrey kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to end zone, Touchback to the WAS 35.
(6:32) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.McLaurin (28-S.Revel).
(6:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at WAS 28 for -7 yards (53-D.Winters). PENALTY on DAL-26-D.Bland, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 35 - No Play.
(6:05) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt right tackle to WAS 49 for 9 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku; 13-C.Downs).
(5:23) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles left end to DAL 48 for 3 yards (55-J.Barham).
(4:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-J.Croskey-Merritt left guard to DAL 40 for 8 yards (34-J.Thompson).
(4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short right to 22-J.Croskey-Merritt. PENALTY on WAS-74-B.Coleman, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 40 - No Play.
(4:11) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 6-D.Brown pushed ob at DAL 27 for 18 yards (13-C.Downs) [57-M.Lawrence].
(3:34) 1-R.White left end to DAL 23 for 4 yards (92-Q.Williams).
(2:55) (Shotgun) 14-A.Williams pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.McLaurin.
(2:49) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles right end to DAL 21 for 2 yards (7-R.Gary). PENALTY on WAS-72-J.Conerly, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 23 - No Play.
(2:25) (Shotgun) 6-D.Brown pass short left to 1-R.White to DAL 33 for no gain (92-Q.Williams; 40-V.Miller). The penalty was assisted by replay.
(1:57) 19-D.Stevens 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
(1:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to DAL 47 for 6 yards (54-L.Chenal).
(1:13) (Shotgun) 31-E.Demercado right guard to DAL 47 for no gain (54-L.Chenal).
(:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to WAS 48 for 5 yards (20-Q.Martin; 92-D.Armstrong).
END QUARTER 3
(15:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams to WAS 42 for 6 yards (52-S.Styles; 54-L.Chenal).
(14:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy to WAS 42 for no gain (29-R.Douglas; 45-K.Chaisson).
(13:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 88-C.Lamb (2-A.Robertson).
(13:27) 17-B.Aubrey 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
17-B.Aubrey kicks 59 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 6. 83-J.Lane to WAS 27 for 21 yards (89-B.Spann-Ford).
(13:18) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete short right to 17-T.McLaurin.
(13:14) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 14-A.Williams to WAS 36 for 9 yards (28-S.Revel).
(12:36) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 3-S.Diggs pushed ob at WAS 41 for 5 yards (26-D.Bland).
(12:07) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 14-A.Williams pushed ob at DAL 49 for 10 yards (53-D.Winters).
(11:32) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 1-R.White to DAL 43 for 6 yards (53-D.Winters). WAS-74-B.Coleman was injured during the play.
(10:54) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass incomplete deep left to 17-T.McLaurin.
(10:49) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 1-R.White to DAL 33 for 10 yards (50-S.James; 26-D.Bland) [97-K.Clark].
(10:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 14-A.Williams to DAL 28 for 5 yards (13-C.Downs).
(9:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 6-D.Brown ran ob at DAL 20 for 8 yards (28-S.Revel).
(9:09) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep right to 3-S.Diggs for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-O.Ogbonnia].
19-D.Stevens extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
19-D.Stevens kicks 60 yards from WAS 35 to DAL 5. 9-K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 40 for 35 yards (39-J.Reaves). PENALTY on DAL-42-C.Robinson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 27.
(8:58) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-J.Ferguson to DAL 24 for 7 yards (41-J.Jean-Baptiste).
(8:16) 33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 26 for 2 yards (54-L.Chenal).
(7:41) 4-D.Prescott up the middle to DAL 29 for 3 yards (97-T.Settle). DAL-87-J.Ferguson was injured during the play.
(7:23) 33-J.Williams right end to WAS 46 for 25 yards (25-N.Cross). WAS-99-J.Kinlaw was injured during the play. PENALTY on DAL-3-G.Pickens, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 31.
(7:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles left end to DAL 27 for 6 yards (97-T.Settle).
(6:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at WAS 38 for 35 yards (20-Q.Martin).
Timeout #1 by DAL at 05:40.
(5:40) 33-J.Williams left guard to WAS 29 for 9 yards (54-L.Chenal; 39-J.Reaves). WAS-99-J.Kinlaw was injured during the play. ** Injury Update: WAS-99-J.Kinlaw has returned to the game.
(5:17) (Shotgun) 33-J.Williams right guard to WAS 29 for no gain (92-D.Armstrong; 52-S.Styles).
(4:39) 30-H.Luepke up the middle to WAS 28 for 1 yard (54-L.Chenal).
(3:54) 33-J.Williams up the middle to WAS 24 for 4 yards (41-J.Jean-Baptiste; 54-L.Chenal).
(3:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17-B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
17-B.Aubrey kicks 55 yards from DAL 35 to WAS 10. 83-J.Lane to WAS 43 for 33 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs), and recovers at WAS 43.
(3:01) (Shotgun) 31-K.Allen left end to 50 for 7 yards (53-D.Winters).
(2:23) 31-K.Allen left tackle to DAL 41 for 9 yards (53-D.Winters). WAS-76-S.Cosmi was injured during the play.
(2:00) 31-K.Allen left tackle to DAL 40 for 1 yard (97-K.Clark).
(1:16) 31-K.Allen left tackle to DAL 36 for 4 yards (6-D.Ezeiruaku).
(:37) 31-K.Allen left tackle to DAL 33 for 3 yards (28-S.Revel).
END GAME
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
0.54 percentage points Supported
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
1.67 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
0 percentage points Supported
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
0 percentage points Supported
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
-1.83 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
0 percentage points Supported
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
1.67 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
0 percentage points Supported
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
-1.83 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
0.12 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
1.2 percentage points · experimental Experimental
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
1.67 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
This event has no supported modeled impact. Its observed result alone does not establish the cost of an error.
1.78 percentage points · experimental Experimental
Model under-review-nfl4th-2026-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
-1.83 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-fc871868cb91 · 3/3 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
0.12 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
0.06 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 2/2 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
0.33 recoveries Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
-0.33 recoveries Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-5d13bdb7c25f-team-recovery-v1 · 1/1 eligible events modeled
0.12 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
0.06 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 2/2 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
Unavailable Unavailable
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model nflfastR-6.0.0-fastrmodels-2.1.0-nonspread-regulation · 0/1 eligible events modeled
0.12 points Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model under-review-contextual-baselines-v1-1b26bba80d09 · 4/4 eligible events modeled
This event has no supported modeled impact. Its observed result alone does not establish the cost of an error.
1 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
1 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
3 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
2 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 2/2 eligible events modeled
2 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 2/2 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
4 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
2 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
4 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
27 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
4 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
2 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
2 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
3 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
2 count Supported
State not available.
4 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
3 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
Retrieved Sep 23, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC
License: CC-BY-4.0
SHA-256 1a84d2e5ea22542dc1763227303f8e68361f4e1aec84ac5d49aba13c7950a83fTraining window: Not established; retrospective evaluation is not claimed to be leakage-free.
Published training excludes ties/OT; pinned artifact training cutoff unverified.
Training window: Not established; retrospective evaluation is not claimed to be leakage-free.
Rule-adapted experimental scenarios; recorded observed-action diagnostics do not identify unchosen counterfactual outcomes.
Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
Training window: 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022
No future games, recovery locations, eventual yards gained, or kick outcomes in predictors.
Training window: 2017–2025; comparisons use strictly prior seasons
Experimental empirical overtime estimates for supported possession phases; not calibrated coaching or officiating costs. Points describe pre-play win/loss/tie probabilities, except END GAME is an observed outcome. Sparse, unsupported and ambiguous states remain unavailable.
Training window: 1999–2025; target comparisons use prior seasons only
Descriptive fixed-pattern historical comparisons and play review triggers; no intent or misconduct inference.
Analysis input hash: 737f8358eafdca4084009fbcc2248d6900826e67068353bc10f52646f5b0480f
Each saved version stays available so you can see what changed.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated after a correction
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Previously reported game profile or historical comparison corrected.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game rating and historical comparisons updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Updated source data
12 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Charting coverage updated. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Updated source data
0 metric records changed; 0 previously reported category findings changed. Game profile audit and review priorities updated.
Early source data
Initial evidence-backed report.
24 count Supported
State not available.
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
Model FTN-charting · 31/31 eligible events modeled
No supported alternative state. Observed play impact is not an estimate of error cost.
Model FTN-charting · 35/35 eligible events modeled